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KLRHO:BISTKILER HOLDING A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

TRY 102.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kiler Holding is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61, more than double the industry average of ~30, while the discounted cash flow model suggests a fair value near 28 TRY. The company’s revenue has collapsed by roughly 68% year‑over‑year and operating cash flow is negative, highlighting severe earnings pressure. A debt‑to‑equity ratio above 9 underscores a fragile balance sheet, and the lack of any dividend further reduces income appeal. Technicals show the stock below its 20‑day (≈107) and 50‑day (≈118) moving averages, with a bearish trend direction and RSI around 40, though the MACD histogram is modestly positive. Volatility is extreme at nearly 80% over the past month, and the market sentiment index is in “Extreme Greed,” suggesting speculative buying despite weak fundamentals. Overall, the valuation appears stretched, the financial health deteriorated, and the risk profile elevated across multiple dimensions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish trend direction
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for price stabilization near support
  • Continued earnings weakness
  • Elevated debt levels limiting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far below current price
  • Sustained revenue decline and negative cash flow
  • Structural risks from Turkish macro environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-67.60%
Profit Margin27.73%
P/E Ratio61.1
ROE7.75%
ROA3.31%
Debt/Equity9.13
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash FlowTRY-922492992
Free Cash FlowTRY2.9B
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.7
SupportTRY 95.10
ResistanceTRY 147.80
MA 20TRY 107.59
MA 50TRY 118.22
MA 200TRY 202.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueTRY 28.74
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility79.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.