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KFRC:NYSEKforce, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time

$49.51

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kforce Inc. is trading at $49.51, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $37.50, reflecting a ~14.5% overvaluation despite a solid 3.19% dividend yield and a 79.7% payout ratio that is currently covered by free cash flow. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA ($47.53) and 50‑day SMA ($42.79), indicating short‑term bullish momentum, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the RSI of 63 suggests the market may be approaching overbought conditions. Volume has been stable but below its 10‑day average, and the high 30‑day volatility of 39% combined with an ultra‑low beta (~0.10) points to price swings that are not driven by broader market moves. Financially, the company shows flat revenue growth, modest margins, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~91), though cash flow remains positive and supports the dividend. Overall, the technical picture is mixed, the valuation appears stretched, and the balance sheet risk tempers the attractiveness of the current price.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above DCF fair value and near resistance
  • RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • Bearish MACD histogram despite bullish SMA crossover

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable cash flow
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting upside
  • Valuation gap requiring price correction

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low market beta suggesting limited systematic risk
  • Stable dividend and cash generation
  • Flat revenue growth and elevated leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.10%
Profit Margin2.60%
P/E Ratio25.1
ROE27.10%
ROA8.38%
Debt/Equity91.49
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash Flow$57.3M
Free Cash Flow$57.9M
Industry P/E31.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.4
Support$43.62
Resistance$50.70
MA 20$47.53
MA 50$42.79
MA 200$33.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Fair Value$37.50
Target Price$42.33
Upside/Downside-14.50%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility39.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.