KFRC:NYSEKforce, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time
$49.51
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kforce Inc. is trading at $49.51, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $37.50, reflecting a ~14.5% overvaluation despite a solid 3.19% dividend yield and a 79.7% payout ratio that is currently covered by free cash flow. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA ($47.53) and 50‑day SMA ($42.79), indicating short‑term bullish momentum, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the RSI of 63 suggests the market may be approaching overbought conditions. Volume has been stable but below its 10‑day average, and the high 30‑day volatility of 39% combined with an ultra‑low beta (~0.10) points to price swings that are not driven by broader market moves. Financially, the company shows flat revenue growth, modest margins, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~91), though cash flow remains positive and supports the dividend. Overall, the technical picture is mixed, the valuation appears stretched, and the balance sheet risk tempers the attractiveness of the current price.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above DCF fair value and near resistance
- RSI indicating overbought conditions
- Bearish MACD histogram despite bullish SMA crossover
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable cash flow
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting upside
- Valuation gap requiring price correction
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Low market beta suggesting limited systematic risk
- Stable dividend and cash generation
- Flat revenue growth and elevated leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.10%
Profit Margin2.60%
P/E Ratio25.1
ROE27.10%
ROA8.38%
Debt/Equity91.49
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash Flow$57.3M
Free Cash Flow$57.9M
Industry P/E31.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.4
Support$43.62
Resistance$50.70
MA 20$47.53
MA 50$42.79
MA 200$33.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Valuation
Fair Value$37.50
Target Price$42.33
Upside/Downside-14.50%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility39.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.