KESKOB:OMXHEXKesko Oyj Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time
€20.94
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kesko Oyj is trading just above its near‑term support of €20.18 with the price at €20.94, while the 20‑day SMA (€20.64) sits above both the 50‑day (€20.24) and 200‑day (€19.51) averages, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. RSI at 57 shows the stock is not overbought, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting momentum may be weakening. Volume has been decreasing, and the price is approaching resistance around €21.24, creating a tight technical range. On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 7 % YoY and ROE is a respectable 16 %, yet margins remain thin (gross margin 14.5 %, operating margin 3.2 %) and the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 152 %, with a payout ratio above 100 % that questions dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE of 16.1 and price‑to‑sales of 0.66 suggest modest undervaluation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of €7 is an outlier; the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 83) and a modest upside of ~4 % further temper expectations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support and resistance
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth and solid ROE
- High leverage and unsustainable dividend payout
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Defensive consumer sector positioning
- Stable cash flow generation
- Potential for dividend policy adjustment and balance‑sheet deleveraging
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin3.21%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE16.30%
ROA4.36%
Debt/Equity152.56
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow€981.9M
Free Cash Flow€364.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.2
Support€20.18
Resistance€21.24
MA 20€20.64
MA 50€20.24
MA 200€19.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Fair Value€7.05
Target Price€21.80
Upside/Downside4.11%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility21.30%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.