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KESKOB:OMXHEXKesko Oyj Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

€20.94

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kesko Oyj is trading just above its near‑term support of €20.18 with the price at €20.94, while the 20‑day SMA (€20.64) sits above both the 50‑day (€20.24) and 200‑day (€19.51) averages, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. RSI at 57 shows the stock is not overbought, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting momentum may be weakening. Volume has been decreasing, and the price is approaching resistance around €21.24, creating a tight technical range. On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 7 % YoY and ROE is a respectable 16 %, yet margins remain thin (gross margin 14.5 %, operating margin 3.2 %) and the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 152 %, with a payout ratio above 100 % that questions dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE of 16.1 and price‑to‑sales of 0.66 suggest modest undervaluation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of €7 is an outlier; the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 83) and a modest upside of ~4 % further temper expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support and resistance
  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth and solid ROE
  • High leverage and unsustainable dividend payout
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer sector positioning
  • Stable cash flow generation
  • Potential for dividend policy adjustment and balance‑sheet deleveraging

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin3.21%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE16.30%
ROA4.36%
Debt/Equity152.56
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow€981.9M
Free Cash Flow€364.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.2
Support€20.18
Resistance€21.24
MA 20€20.64
MA 50€20.24
MA 200€19.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Fair Value€7.05
Target Price€21.80
Upside/Downside4.11%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility21.30%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.