KE:NASDAQKimball Electronics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$25.86
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kimball Electronics (KE) is trading just above its 20‑day SMA (25.32) and marginally above the 50‑day SMA (25.82) while remaining well below the 200‑day SMA (27.50), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term bearish framework. Technicals reinforce this view: the MACD line sits below its signal, the histogram is negative, and RSI hovers around a neutral 52, while volume has been trending downwards. High 30‑day volatility (≈50%) and an elevated beta (≈1.85) further underscore the stock’s price sensitivity.
Fundamentally, KE’s revenue is contracting (-5.8%) and profit margins are thin (gross 8%, operating 3.5%, net 1.8%). Nevertheless, the stock trades at a PE of 24.6 versus an industry average of 30.6, and the forward PE of 19 suggests earnings improvement expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value (≈$25.48) is essentially in line with the current price ($25.86), implying limited upside from valuation alone, yet the model flags a 25% upside/downside potential. With no dividend and modest ROE (4.6%), the company leans toward a value‑oriented play supported by secular demand in connectivity and industrial automation.
Fundamentally, KE’s revenue is contracting (-5.8%) and profit margins are thin (gross 8%, operating 3.5%, net 1.8%). Nevertheless, the stock trades at a PE of 24.6 versus an industry average of 30.6, and the forward PE of 19 suggests earnings improvement expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value (≈$25.48) is essentially in line with the current price ($25.86), implying limited upside from valuation alone, yet the model flags a 25% upside/downside potential. With no dividend and modest ROE (4.6%), the company leans toward a value‑oriented play supported by secular demand in connectivity and industrial automation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical signals (MACD, SMA200 below price)
- Decreasing trading volume
- Proximity to near‑term support at $23.31
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Valuation discount to industry PE
- Forward PE improvement to 19x
- Secular growth trends in industrial automation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Thin margins and revenue contraction
- Exposure to global supply‑chain and currency dynamics
- Potential upside from DCF model and industry tailwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.80%
Profit Margin1.81%
P/E Ratio24.6
ROE4.62%
ROA3.53%
Debt/Equity31.09
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$107.9M
Free Cash Flow$53.6M
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.0
Support$23.31
Resistance$27.29
MA 20$25.32
MA 50$25.82
MA 200$27.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$25.48
Target Price$32.50
Upside/Downside25.68%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.85
Volatility49.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.