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KE:NASDAQKimball Electronics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$25.86

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kimball Electronics (KE) is trading just above its 20‑day SMA (25.32) and marginally above the 50‑day SMA (25.82) while remaining well below the 200‑day SMA (27.50), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term bearish framework. Technicals reinforce this view: the MACD line sits below its signal, the histogram is negative, and RSI hovers around a neutral 52, while volume has been trending downwards. High 30‑day volatility (≈50%) and an elevated beta (≈1.85) further underscore the stock’s price sensitivity.
Fundamentally, KE’s revenue is contracting (-5.8%) and profit margins are thin (gross 8%, operating 3.5%, net 1.8%). Nevertheless, the stock trades at a PE of 24.6 versus an industry average of 30.6, and the forward PE of 19 suggests earnings improvement expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value (≈$25.48) is essentially in line with the current price ($25.86), implying limited upside from valuation alone, yet the model flags a 25% upside/downside potential. With no dividend and modest ROE (4.6%), the company leans toward a value‑oriented play supported by secular demand in connectivity and industrial automation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical signals (MACD, SMA200 below price)
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Proximity to near‑term support at $23.31

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation discount to industry PE
  • Forward PE improvement to 19x
  • Secular growth trends in industrial automation

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Thin margins and revenue contraction
  • Exposure to global supply‑chain and currency dynamics
  • Potential upside from DCF model and industry tailwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.80%
Profit Margin1.81%
P/E Ratio24.6
ROE4.62%
ROA3.53%
Debt/Equity31.09
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$107.9M
Free Cash Flow$53.6M
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.0
Support$23.31
Resistance$27.29
MA 20$25.32
MA 50$25.82
MA 200$27.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$25.48
Target Price$32.50
Upside/Downside25.68%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.85
Volatility49.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.