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KDK:NASDAQKodiak AI, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$7.99

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Kodiak AI’s price sits just above its short‑term moving average while the longer‑term average remains essentially flat, indicating a neutral bias. The RSI is in the neutral zone and the MACD histogram stays negative, delivering a bearish signal, yet volume is trending higher and volatility is exceptionally elevated, reflecting a very active market.
Fundamentally, the firm shows robust revenue growth and a strategic partnership with a major automotive supplier, but it continues to post negative earnings, cash flow and a book value per share below zero. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, with a target price substantially above the current level, implying more than fifty percent upside. Recent operational news – a dramatic rise in driverless operating hours and expanded hardware collaborations – adds momentum to the growth narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Elevated volatility
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and expanding driverless fleet hours
  • Strategic hardware partnership with Bosch
  • Analyst consensus of strong‑buy with significant upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term secular shift toward autonomous freight
  • Solid cash position supporting continued R&D
  • Potential for large market capture in trucking and defense

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.40%
P/E Ratio-12.8
ROA-98.11%
P/B Ratio-5.7
Op. Cash Flow$-107430000
Free Cash Flow$-90927504
Industry P/E38.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.8
Support$5.88
Resistance$9.93
MA 20$8.34
MA 50$8.21
MA 200$8.35
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.34

Valuation

Target Price$12.40
Upside/Downside55.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.38
Volatility100.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.