KBH:NYSEKB Home Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KB Home is trading around $48.6, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $61.34, implying roughly a 13½% upside. The stock carries a low trailing PE of 9.38 and a price‑to‑book of 0.79, positioning it firmly in the value space, while delivering a 2.06% dividend yield with a modest 19% payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability. Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (≈$48.96) sits just above price, the 50‑day SMA (≈$51.16) and 200‑day SMA (≈$59.08) are higher, and the trend is flagged bearish, yet the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, while RSI at 46.8 points to neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volatility is elevated at 38.5% over the past 30 days and beta hovers around 1.0, indicating market‑aligned risk, and the stock has recently slipped 4% over the past month, testing a support level near $44.0. Upcoming earnings and the imminent ex‑dividend date add near‑term catalysts that could swing sentiment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Upcoming earnings release could cause volatility
- Technical trend remains bearish despite a bullish MACD signal
- Dividend yield provides a modest cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Valuation upside of ~13% versus DCF fair value
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Potential recovery in residential construction demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Fundamentally sound balance sheet with manageable debt
- Long‑term demographic trends supporting homeownership
- Consistent value metrics (low PE, low PB) and dividend stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.