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KBH:NYSEKB Home Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$54.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KB Home trades in the mid‑50s range, just below its discounted cash‑flow fair‑value estimate, yielding a modest upside potential. The stock benefits from a low price‑to‑book ratio under one and a solid dividend yield of roughly two percent, supported by a payout ratio well under twenty percent, suggesting sustainable income. However, revenue has contracted sharply, and operating margins remain thin, placing the company firmly in a value‑oriented profile rather than a growth story. Technical signals are mixed: a bullish MACD and rising volume hint at short‑term buying pressure, yet the broader trend remains bearish, with the price still below its long‑term moving average. Overall, the valuation appears slightly undervalued, but the downside risks from cyclical demand and high volatility temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and increasing volume suggest near‑term momentum
  • Price remains above recent support, limiting immediate downside
  • Overall bearish trend and high 30‑day volatility caution aggressive buying

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Modest valuation upside versus fair‑value estimate
  • Continued revenue contraction and thin operating margins
  • Stable dividend income offsets some earnings uncertainty

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to book and cash flow metrics
  • Sustainable dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Potential for recovery in the residential construction cycle

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-22.60%
Profit Margin5.96%
P/E Ratio10.4
ROE8.87%
ROA4.30%
Debt/Equity49.85
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$544.6M
Free Cash Flow$427.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI62.1
Support$44.03
Resistance$54.91
MA 20$49.98
MA 50$50.90
MA 200$58.34
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$62.85
Target Price$55.15
Upside/Downside2.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility40.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.