KAT:NASDAQScharf ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$55.18
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The KAT ETF is trading at $55.18, tightly aligned with its 20‑day SMA (55.18) and 50‑day SMA (54.88), while the 200‑day SMA (55.25) sits just above the current price, indicating a near‑neutral positioning. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (50.5) and a bullish MACD signal despite a near‑zero histogram, suggesting limited upside momentum. Support at $54.42 and resistance near $55.92 frame a narrow trading range, and the decreasing volume trend hints at waning short‑term enthusiasm. The fund’s beta of 0.55 signals lower market sensitivity, yet the Fear & Greed Index at 91.6 (Extreme Greed) reflects heightened market optimism that could inflate price expectations.
On the fundamentals side, KAT boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, ensuring tight index replication, but its expense ratio of 0.75% is relatively high for a large‑blend ETF. The modest dividend yield (0.39%) and a max drawdown of -9.25% over the recent period suggest limited income and acceptable downside risk, while the low liquidity (average daily volume ~7,000 shares) may affect trade execution.
On the fundamentals side, KAT boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, ensuring tight index replication, but its expense ratio of 0.75% is relatively high for a large‑blend ETF. The modest dividend yield (0.39%) and a max drawdown of -9.25% over the recent period suggest limited income and acceptable downside risk, while the low liquidity (average daily volume ~7,000 shares) may affect trade execution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price is just above the identified support level
- Decreasing volume suggests caution on immediate moves
- Neutral RSI combined with a modest bullish MACD signal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Low beta provides defensive characteristics in a volatile market
- Zero tracking error guarantees faithful index replication
- Diversified large‑blend exposure offsets sector‑specific risks
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Steady, albeit low, dividend yield supports modest income
- Maximum drawdown under 10% indicates reasonable capital preservation
- Extreme Greed sentiment may signal overvaluation risk over extended horizons
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$688.0M
Inception Date2011-12-30
Avg Daily Volume7,630
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.39%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support$54.42
Resistance$55.92
MA 20$55.18
MA 50$54.88
MA 200$55.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta0.55
Volatility7.64%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.