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KAT:NASDAQScharf ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$55.18

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The KAT ETF is trading at $55.18, tightly aligned with its 20‑day SMA (55.18) and 50‑day SMA (54.88), while the 200‑day SMA (55.25) sits just above the current price, indicating a near‑neutral positioning. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (50.5) and a bullish MACD signal despite a near‑zero histogram, suggesting limited upside momentum. Support at $54.42 and resistance near $55.92 frame a narrow trading range, and the decreasing volume trend hints at waning short‑term enthusiasm. The fund’s beta of 0.55 signals lower market sensitivity, yet the Fear & Greed Index at 91.6 (Extreme Greed) reflects heightened market optimism that could inflate price expectations.
On the fundamentals side, KAT boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, ensuring tight index replication, but its expense ratio of 0.75% is relatively high for a large‑blend ETF. The modest dividend yield (0.39%) and a max drawdown of -9.25% over the recent period suggest limited income and acceptable downside risk, while the low liquidity (average daily volume ~7,000 shares) may affect trade execution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price is just above the identified support level
  • Decreasing volume suggests caution on immediate moves
  • Neutral RSI combined with a modest bullish MACD signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta provides defensive characteristics in a volatile market
  • Zero tracking error guarantees faithful index replication
  • Diversified large‑blend exposure offsets sector‑specific risks

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Steady, albeit low, dividend yield supports modest income
  • Maximum drawdown under 10% indicates reasonable capital preservation
  • Extreme Greed sentiment may signal overvaluation risk over extended horizons

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$688.0M
Inception Date2011-12-30
Avg Daily Volume7,630
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.39%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support$54.42
Resistance$55.92
MA 20$55.18
MA 50$54.88
MA 200$55.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.55
Volatility7.64%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.