KARO:NASDAQKarooooo Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$47.03
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Karooooo Ltd. posted $5.48 B in revenue with an 18.8% YoY growth rate, maintaining a robust 68% gross margin and a 23% operating margin, while delivering a 30.8% ROE and a strong free cash flow of $1.91 B. The company’s dividend yield of 5.9% and a payout ratio of 68.7% suggest a sustainable income stream, reinforced by a solid cash balance that nearly matches its debt. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $1,712 per share versus the current $47 price implies an extreme undervaluation, translating into a 28.9% upside potential and supporting a “undervalued” rating. Technical indicators are mixed: the stock trades below its 20‑day ($48.82), 50‑day ($48.96) and 200‑day ($48.50) SMAs, RSI sits at 43, and a bearish MACD histogram signals short‑term weakness, although volume is increasing. Risk factors include a 38.8% 30‑day volatility, beta of 1.07, and modest liquidity, but the firm’s diversified geographic footprint and high dividend yield provide some cushion. Overall, the fundamentals point to a compelling long‑term buy despite near‑term technical headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Increasing volume but neutral RSI
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Accelerating subscription revenue and strong free cash flow
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Significant upside potential per DCF and analyst targets
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth and high margins
- Exceptional ROE and cash generation
- Deep undervaluation relative to fair value and industry peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin18.14%
P/E Ratio24.5
ROE30.77%
ROA16.26%
Debt/Equity34.39
P/B Ratio7.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.9B
Industry P/E38.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.4
Support$42.40
Resistance$52.07
MA 20$48.82
MA 50$48.96
MA 200$48.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$1,712.58
Target Price$60.62
Upside/Downside28.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.07
Volatility38.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.