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KARO:NASDAQKarooooo Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$47.03

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Karooooo Ltd. posted $5.48 B in revenue with an 18.8% YoY growth rate, maintaining a robust 68% gross margin and a 23% operating margin, while delivering a 30.8% ROE and a strong free cash flow of $1.91 B. The company’s dividend yield of 5.9% and a payout ratio of 68.7% suggest a sustainable income stream, reinforced by a solid cash balance that nearly matches its debt. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $1,712 per share versus the current $47 price implies an extreme undervaluation, translating into a 28.9% upside potential and supporting a “undervalued” rating. Technical indicators are mixed: the stock trades below its 20‑day ($48.82), 50‑day ($48.96) and 200‑day ($48.50) SMAs, RSI sits at 43, and a bearish MACD histogram signals short‑term weakness, although volume is increasing. Risk factors include a 38.8% 30‑day volatility, beta of 1.07, and modest liquidity, but the firm’s diversified geographic footprint and high dividend yield provide some cushion. Overall, the fundamentals point to a compelling long‑term buy despite near‑term technical headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Increasing volume but neutral RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Accelerating subscription revenue and strong free cash flow
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Significant upside potential per DCF and analyst targets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust revenue growth and high margins
  • Exceptional ROE and cash generation
  • Deep undervaluation relative to fair value and industry peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin18.14%
P/E Ratio24.5
ROE30.77%
ROA16.26%
Debt/Equity34.39
P/B Ratio7.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.9B
Industry P/E38.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.4
Support$42.40
Resistance$52.07
MA 20$48.82
MA 50$48.96
MA 200$48.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Fair Value$1,712.58
Target Price$60.62
Upside/Downside28.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.91%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.07
Volatility38.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.