KALU:NASDAQKaiser Aluminum Corporation analysis
Data as of Sep 8, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $164.19
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation trades at $164.19, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Relative strength is 49.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $148.00 and resistance at $199.89.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 12.2 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 3.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 52.7% on a 5.5% profit margin. The 1.88% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 64.5%, a beta of 1.79 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 4 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 12.2 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 3.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 52.7% on a 5.5% profit margin. The 1.88% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 64.5%, a beta of 1.79 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 4 out of 10.
Top market events
- Riverwater Partners, an investment management company, released its ‘Small Cap Strategy’ Q2 2026 investor letter.
- The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says.
- Seeking Alpha1monKaiser Aluminum Corporation KALU Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGreetings.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 146.25
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day volatility of 64.5%
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 146.25
- 30-day volatility of 64.5%
- MACD momentum is positive
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Revenue growth of +52.7%
- P/E ratio of 12.2
- Return on equity of 26.4%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth52.70%
Profit Margin5.49%
P/E Ratio12.2
ROE26.40%
ROA7.75%
Debt/Equity113.25
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$185.9M
Free Cash Flow$33.0M
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.7
Support$148.00
Resistance$199.89
MA 20$166.40
MA 50$167.95
MA 200$146.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.11
Valuation
Fair Value$7.90
Target Price$170.50
Upside/Downside3.84%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.88%
Risk assessment
Beta1.79
Volatility64.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.