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KAI:NYSEKadant Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$314.21

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kadant Inc. posted a 17.7% year‑over‑year revenue increase to $281.5 million and beat earnings expectations, with non‑GAAP EPS up 34.8% versus consensus. The stock is trading just below its 20‑day SMA of $316 and shows a bullish MACD crossover, while the RSI sits near 48, indicating neutral momentum but room to rise. Technical support around $278 is comfortably above the current price of $314, and the next resistance near $353 provides upside potential, consistent with the recent guidance that tops analyst forecasts. However, the market price is well above the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $211 and carries a forward PE of 24× versus the industry average of 29×, suggesting the shares are currently priced for strong growth. The recent acquisition of voestalpine BÖHLER adds strategic depth to the material‑handling segment, and a modest 0.43% dividend yield backed by a 15.5% payout ratio appears sustainable. Overall, the blend of solid top‑line growth, positive earnings momentum, and technical bullishness is tempered by a high valuation and elevated volatility (≈53% 30‑day) and beta (>1.5), implying cautious optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price near key moving averages
  • Q1 earnings beat and guidance above estimates
  • Technical support well below current price with upside to resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and margin expansion
  • High valuation relative to DCF fair value
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic acquisition expanding product portfolio
  • Consistent free cash flow supporting dividend and reinvestment
  • Long‑term industrial machinery demand trends

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.70%
Profit Margin9.45%
P/E Ratio35.8
ROE11.10%
ROA6.78%
Debt/Equity36.11
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$170.4M
Free Cash Flow$101.9M
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.1
Support$278.23
Resistance$352.74
MA 20$316.09
MA 50$313.02
MA 200$308.74
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value$211.03
Target Price$342.00
Upside/Downside8.84%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.43%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.61
Volatility53.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.