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JVA:NASDAQCoffee Holding Co., Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$4.32

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Coffee Holding trades just above its 20‑day moving average and comfortably above the 50‑day average, a classic bullish alignment, while still respecting a clear support zone near the low‑$4.10 region. Technical momentum is mixed: the MACD sits in bearish territory and the histogram is negative, yet the RSI hovers around the midpoint, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold pressure. Volume is on a downtrend, and the 30‑day volatility exceeds 50%, underscoring a choppy price environment for a small‑cap stock with a beta above one. The current market price sits well below the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating a substantial upside potential on a valuation basis.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 20% revenue growth rate, albeit on modest absolute numbers, and maintains low price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book multiples that are attractive relative to peers. Margins remain thin, and the dividend payout ratio is effectively zero, raising questions about the long‑term sustainability of the 1.8% yield. The balance sheet shows modest cash against a relatively high debt load, and the firm operates across several geographies, adding both diversification and exposure to non‑USD currencies. Overall, the blend of undervaluation, growth signs, and defensive sector positioning makes the stock a compelling candidate for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term traders should respect the current technical softness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram signal short‑term weakness
  • Price near support with limited upside in the near term
  • Decreasing volume and high volatility increase execution risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF suggests significant upside relative to current price
  • Strong revenue growth and low valuation multiples
  • Defensive consumer sector provides stability amid market swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued fundamentals with room for multiple expansion
  • Geographic diversification across mature coffee markets
  • Potential for margin improvement as scale and brand recognition grow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.00%
Profit Margin1.89%
P/E Ratio12.7
ROE6.77%
ROA4.59%
Debt/Equity16.78
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$2.0M
Free Cash Flow$1.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.8
Support$4.12
Resistance$5.03
MA 20$4.47
MA 50$4.39
MA 200$4.01
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$8.17
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.84%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.16
Volatility51.43%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.