JSW:GPWJastrzebska Spolka Weglowa S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
₹270.45
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JSW Infrastructure is trading around ₹270.45, hugging its 20‑day SMA of ₹275.9 and sitting just above the identified support at ₹256. The RSI sits near the midpoint at 49.7, while the MACD histogram is negative, signaling a bearish short‑term momentum. Valuation metrics are stretched – the forward PE of 23.6 and price‑to‑book of 5.17 sit well above the industry PE average of 29.5, and the DCF fair value of ₹162 implies a ~27.8% upside/downside gap. Recent news of an $850 million share sale adds dilution pressure, potentially widening the valuation gap.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth of 18% and impressive operating margins (>40%), yet free cash flow remains negative and debt‑to‑equity is high at 59. Dividend yield is modest at 0.3% with a low payout ratio, but sustainability is questionable given cash constraints. Volatility is elevated (~40% 30‑day), though beta is modest (<0.7), suggesting market‑wide swings rather than stock‑specific risk. Overall, the stock appears overvalued in the near term, but its long‑run infrastructure franchise and growth trajectory keep it on analysts’ radars.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth of 18% and impressive operating margins (>40%), yet free cash flow remains negative and debt‑to‑equity is high at 59. Dividend yield is modest at 0.3% with a low payout ratio, but sustainability is questionable given cash constraints. Volatility is elevated (~40% 30‑day), though beta is modest (<0.7), suggesting market‑wide swings rather than stock‑specific risk. Overall, the stock appears overvalued in the near term, but its long‑run infrastructure franchise and growth trajectory keep it on analysts’ radars.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
- Proximity to technical support level
- Upcoming share dilution from $850 M capital raise
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and operating margins
- High valuation relative to DCF and peers
- Elevated debt load and negative free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑run demand for port infrastructure in India
- Robust operating cash flow generation
- Strategic capital raise to fund expansion despite current dilution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.90%
Profit Margin28.41%
P/E Ratio37.1
ROE13.95%
ROA6.67%
Debt/Equity59.00
P/B Ratio5.2
Op. Cash Flow₹20.2B
Free Cash Flow₹-10984337408
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.7
Support₹256.00
Resistance₹295.80
MA 20₹275.89
MA 50₹263.48
MA 200₹281.91
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
Fair Value₹161.97
Target Price₹345.65
Upside/Downside27.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.30%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility40.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.