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JRSH:NASDAQJerash Holdings (US), Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$3.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Jerash Holdings (US) trades at $3.46, comfortably above its 20‑day (3.40), 50‑day (3.33) and 200‑day (3.22) SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The MACD line sits above its signal (0.060 vs 0.050) and the histogram is positive, while the RSI at 53.9 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volatility is elevated at 27% (30‑day) and beta is modest (undervalued on a relative basis. However, the company’s cash generation is weak (negative operating and free cash flow) and the dividend payout ratio exceeds 140%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. The upcoming Q4 2026 earnings release on June 15 provides a near‑term catalyst, and the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 89.9) combined with a 30% upside potential supports a cautious optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup (price above SMAs, MACD bullish)
  • Upcoming earnings release as a catalyst
  • Significant upside potential (~30%) despite volume weakness

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation metrics vs book and sales
  • Dividend yield high but payout unsustainable
  • Persistent cash flow deficits and moderate debt load

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental cash flow and debt concerns limit upside
  • Sector cyclicality and exposure to multiple geographies
  • Valuation still offers margin of safety if operational improvements materialize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin1.18%
P/E Ratio24.7
ROE2.86%
ROA3.37%
Debt/Equity15.25
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$-1545592
Free Cash Flow$-3115546

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.9
Support$3.14
Resistance$3.67
MA 20$3.40
MA 50$3.33
MA 200$3.22
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$4.50
Upside/Downside30.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.69
Volatility27.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.