JPY:NASDAQLazard Japanese Equity ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-12 - not real-time
$34.05
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Lazard Japanese Equity ETF (JPY) has posted a robust YTD return of 31.4%, pushing its market price to $34.05, just shy of the calculated resistance at $34.71. Technicals show a neutral trend, with the 20‑day SMA ($32.91) above the 200‑day SMA ($31.84), suggesting short‑term upside potential. The RSI sits at 55, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. MACD is bullish, with the line crossing above the signal, reinforcing momentum. Volatility is elevated at over 32% for the past 30 days, reflecting a noisy market. The fund’s beta of 0.95 points to slightly lower systematic risk than the broader market.
However, trading volume has been decreasing, with an average 10‑day volume of only 8,570 shares and today’s volume just 1,235, flagging liquidity concerns. The expense ratio of 0.60% is modest for a niche Japan‑focused ETF. The Fear & Greed Index registers at 87 (Extreme Greed), underscoring strong investor appetite for Japanese equities. The ETF’s max drawdown of 15.1% is tolerable given its recent performance. While the fund tracks its benchmark tightly (tracking error 0), its single‑country exposure creates a high sector concentration risk. In sum, the blend of solid short‑term technical signals and strong momentum is tempered by liquidity and concentration considerations.
However, trading volume has been decreasing, with an average 10‑day volume of only 8,570 shares and today’s volume just 1,235, flagging liquidity concerns. The expense ratio of 0.60% is modest for a niche Japan‑focused ETF. The Fear & Greed Index registers at 87 (Extreme Greed), underscoring strong investor appetite for Japanese equities. The ETF’s max drawdown of 15.1% is tolerable given its recent performance. While the fund tracks its benchmark tightly (tracking error 0), its single‑country exposure creates a high sector concentration risk. In sum, the blend of solid short‑term technical signals and strong momentum is tempered by liquidity and concentration considerations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover
- YTD return of 31.4% indicating strong momentum
- Extreme Greed index suggests continued buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral trend with SMA alignment
- Elevated volatility may cause price swings
- Liquidity constraints limit large position scaling
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High single‑country concentration risk
- Potential for Japanese economic recovery
- Modest expense ratio supports cost‑efficient exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.60%
AUM$68.7M
Inception Date2025-04-04
Avg Daily Volume8,570
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.0
Support$31.45
Resistance$34.71
MA 20$32.91
MA 50$34.16
MA 200$31.84
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.09
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility32.46%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.