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JNJ:NYSEJohnson & Johnson Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

$234.34

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Johnson & Johnson is trading at $234.34, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈227) and 50‑day (≈233) moving averages and well above its 200‑day average (≈211), indicating a solid positioning within a neutral trend. The RSI of 58 suggests the stock is not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged as bullish, reinforced by an increasing volume trend. Fundamentally, the company delivered 10% revenue growth, maintains a 68% gross margin and a 27% operating margin, and generates a robust ROE of 26%. Cash flow remains strong with $22.1 bn cash on hand and free cash flow of $12.5 bn, supporting a dividend yield of 2.29% and a payout ratio of 60%, which is well within sustainable limits. Recent material news includes a positive clinical study for the OTTAVA robotic surgical system and an upgrade from Leerink Partners to Outperform, complemented by inclusion on Goldman Sachs’ Conviction List, all of which bolster investor confidence. Despite a modest upside of ~8% relative to the DCF‑derived fair value and a market‑wide “Extreme Greed” sentiment, the stock’s low beta (≈0.06) and defensive healthcare positioning mitigate broader market volatility.
Overall, the blend of solid earnings performance, dividend reliability, and favorable technical signals supports a cautiously optimistic stance, while the modest valuation premium over peers suggests the stock is fairly priced with limited upside potential in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and increasing volume
  • Recent analyst upgrade to Outperform
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue and earnings growth
  • Sustainable dividend with 60% payout ratio
  • Pipeline progress such as OTTAVA robotic system

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive healthcare sector with low beta
  • Dividend‑king status and cash‑rich balance sheet
  • Moderate valuation relative to peers and DCF

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.90%
Profit Margin21.83%
P/E Ratio27.2
ROE26.42%
ROA8.42%
Debt/Equity67.73
P/B Ratio6.9
Op. Cash Flow$22.9B
Free Cash Flow$12.5B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.3
Support$220.37
Resistance$235.50
MA 20$227.18
MA 50$233.36
MA 200$210.74
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$89.03
Target Price$252.96
Upside/Downside7.95%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility18.67%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.