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JKCEMENT:NSEJ.K. Cement Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

₹5,002.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: J.K. Cement is trading at ₹5,002, well below its 20‑day (₹5,529), 50‑day (₹5,637) and 200‑day (₹6,077) simple moving averages, indicating a bearish momentum. The 14‑day RSI sits at 31, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing short‑term weakness. The price is hovering just above the nearest support at ₹4,934 and faces resistance near ₹5,987. Despite this, analysts project a mean target of ₹6,587, implying roughly a 32% upside.
Fundamental backdrop: The company posted robust revenue growth of 18.2% with a gross margin of 63.7% and operating margin of 11%, yet its valuation appears stretched (PE ≈ 37×, PB ≈ 6×). A debt‑to‑equity ratio near 100% and negligible operating cash flow raise sustainability concerns, reflected in a modest 0.3% dividend yield and a low payout ratio. The brokerage’s “Buy” conviction adds a positive sentiment cue, but high leverage and weak cash generation temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory suggesting a near‑term bounce
  • Price near a defined support level at ₹4,934
  • Analyst consensus rating of "Buy" with a 31% upside target

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (18% YoY) and healthy operating margins
  • Target price median of ₹6,603 indicating sizable upside
  • Sector demand for building materials supporting earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio (~100%) limiting financial flexibility
  • Lack of operating and free cash flow generation
  • Elevated valuation multiples (PE ≈ 37×, PB ≈ 6×) may compress returns over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.20%
Profit Margin7.60%
P/E Ratio37.3
Debt/Equity99.56
P/B Ratio6.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.3
Support₹4,934.00
Resistance₹5,987.00
MA 20₹5,529.35
MA 50₹5,637.02
MA 200₹6,076.58
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price₹6,586.96
Upside/Downside31.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.30%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility35.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.