IVR:NYSEINVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC analysis
Data as of Sep 24, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $6.46
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
At $6.46, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 12.6%. RSI sits at 23.5, which reads as oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $6.38 as support and $7.46 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 4.2 times earnings below a sector average of 29.8. Sell-side targets cluster 26.4% above the current quote. The 22.29% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 16.6%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 31.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, buy further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 4.2 times earnings below a sector average of 29.8. Sell-side targets cluster 26.4% above the current quote. The 22.29% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 16.6%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 31.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, buy further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
Top market events
- Invesco Mortgage Capital swung back to GAAP profitability on a 57.
- ATLANTA, July 30, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. NYSE: IVR the "Company" today announced financial results for the quarter ended June 30,...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 23.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 8.05
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 23.5 signals oversold conditions
- P/E of 4.2 versus sector average of 29.8
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 4.2 versus sector average of 29.8
- Analyst targets imply +26.4% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 86.1% is healthy
Key metrics
REIT metrics
P/FFO4.24127107974394
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI23.5
Support$6.38
Resistance$7.46
MA 20$6.96
MA 50$7.34
MA 200$8.05
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.2
Risk assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility16.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.