ITRK:LSEIntertek Group plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
£3,734.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Intertek Group PLC is trading at £3,734, well below its 20‑day (≈£4,273), 50‑day (≈£4,427) and 200‑day (≈£4,682) moving averages, signalling a pronounced bearish price trend. The RSI of 28 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, and the stock is hovering just above a key support level of £3,724. Despite these technical headwinds, the company posted a third straight year of double‑digit earnings growth and raised its outlook for a core division, yet the share price still fell more than 8% on that news, reflecting market skepticism.
Fundamentally, ITRK trades at a forward PE of ~13 versus an industry average of 29, and its dividend yield of 4.25% with a 74% payout ratio offers attractive income. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of £2,605 is markedly lower than the current price, the price‑to‑book ratio is extremely high, and net debt remains substantial, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on a cash‑flow basis despite its solid ROE of 28% and modest revenue growth.
Fundamentally, ITRK trades at a forward PE of ~13 versus an industry average of 29, and its dividend yield of 4.25% with a 74% payout ratio offers attractive income. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of £2,605 is markedly lower than the current price, the price‑to‑book ratio is extremely high, and net debt remains substantial, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on a cash‑flow basis despite its solid ROE of 28% and modest revenue growth.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD
- Oversold RSI may limit further downside
- High 30‑day volatility (~64%) increases risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong ROE (28%) and double‑digit earnings growth
- Attractive dividend yield (4.25%) with solid cash flow
- Analyst consensus target price suggests ~43% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Durable business model with diversified global exposure
- Low forward PE relative to industry peers
- Consistent dividend policy and resilient cash generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin10.01%
P/E Ratio17.3
ROE28.24%
ROA9.91%
Debt/Equity146.18
P/B Ratio534.5
Op. Cash Flow£536.5M
Free Cash Flow£358.9M
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.2
Support£3,724.00
Resistance£4,752.00
MA 20£4,272.90
MA 50£4,427.12
MA 200£4,681.93
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value£2,605.08
Target Price£5,349.17
Upside/Downside43.26%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.25%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility64.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.