We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

ISSC:NASDAQInnovative Solutions and Support, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-10 - not real-time

$18.85

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Innovative Aerosystems is trading at $18.85, just above its 20‑day SMA of 17.78 and the 200‑day SMA of 17.73, while the RSI sits at a neutral 57 and the MACD shows a bullish histogram. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the recent price lift, and the stock sits comfortably above the identified support of 15.98 with resistance near 19.45. Fundamentals reveal robust profitability – a gross margin of 50.7%, operating margin of 25.7% and ROE of 27% – yet the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 76% and net cash negative. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing P/E of 19.8 is well below the industry average of 31.2, suggesting relative cheapness, but the DCF fair value of $4.35 signals significant overpricing relative to intrinsic estimates. Analyst consensus targets around $27‑$28 imply a potential upside of roughly 50%, aligning with the current “Extreme Greed” sentiment on the fear‑greed index. High beta (computed ~2.44) and 30‑day volatility exceeding 60% amplify short‑term risk, while the lack of dividend payout removes any income cushion. In summary, the stock presents a blend of attractive margins and upside potential tempered by leverage, volatility, and valuation divergence.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram supporting near‑term price stability
  • Price trading above short‑term moving averages
  • Elevated volatility and high beta increasing downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets indicating ~50% upside
  • Strong profitability metrics (gross margin >50%, ROE 27%)
  • Valuation multiple below industry average despite leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Durable defense and aerospace contracts providing secular demand
  • Consistent operating cash flow and free cash flow generation
  • High return on equity suggesting effective capital deployment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin18.82%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROE27.14%
ROA12.97%
Debt/Equity76.16
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$20.6M
Free Cash Flow$8.8M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.0
Support$15.98
Resistance$19.45
MA 20$17.78
MA 50$18.15
MA 200$17.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value$4.35
Target Price$28.25
Upside/Downside49.87%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.44
Volatility61.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.