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ISSC:NASDAQInnovative Solutions and Support, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$15.69

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (ISSC) is posting robust top‑line momentum, with 36.6% YoY revenue growth and a 51% gross margin that outpaces many peers. The balance sheet shows a high ROE of 32.5% and solid operating cash flow, while the stock trades at a P/E of 16.5 versus an industry average of 29.2, suggesting relative cheapness. However, the current price of $15.69 sits above the DCF‑derived fair value of $14.01 and is trading near a technical support of $15.07, with the 20‑day SMA at $19.94, indicating short‑term bearish pressure.
The RSI of 28.9 and a bearish MACD signal point to oversold conditions, and volume is increasing, hinting at potential buying interest. Upcoming Q3 guidance of $24‑26M, an $87M backlog, and M&A‑driven expansion of the autopilot portfolio provide a strong growth catalyst. While the stock is volatile (85% 30‑day volatility) and has a high beta (~2.35), analyst consensus remains a strong‑buy with a median target of $27, implying ~70% upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold technical indicators (RSI 28.9, MACD bearish)
  • Price near strong support level
  • Increasing volume ahead of earnings release

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high gross margin
  • Backlog of $87M and Q3 revenue guide $24‑26M
  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with significant upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE and durable defense/aerospace market positioning
  • Strategic M&A expanding autopilot and avionics portfolio
  • Favorable valuation relative to peers and industry growth outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth36.60%
Profit Margin21.02%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE32.53%
ROA16.36%
Debt/Equity34.23
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$19.6M
Free Cash Flow$7.5M
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI28.9
Support$15.07
Resistance$22.49
MA 20$19.94
MA 50$22.96
MA 200$17.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Fair Value$14.01
Target Price$28.25
Upside/Downside80.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.35
Volatility85.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.