ISSC:NASDAQInnovative Solutions and Support, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-11 - not real-time
$25.17
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Innovative Aerosystems posted a 36.5% jump in total revenue and a 140.9% surge in adjusted EBITDA, driven by strong aftermarket demand and the recent acquisition of a Honeywell power‑generator license. The company’s 20‑day SMA (≈25.13) sits comfortably above both the 50‑day SMA (≈24.22) and the 200‑day SMA (≈16.26), signaling a bullish medium‑term trend, while the RSI is near the neutral 52 level and the MACD histogram remains slightly negative, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure. Valuation metrics are mixed: the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $14.9 is well below the current market price of $25.17, yet the forward P/E of 27.7 and a price‑to‑book of 6.5 are modest compared with the industry average P/E of 30.9, resulting in an overall “fair” valuation assessment.
The stock exhibits high volatility (≈98% 30‑day) and an elevated beta of 2.26, contributing to a pronounced risk profile, while volume trends are decreasing, suggesting waning liquidity. Nonetheless, the company’s robust operating margin (≈29%), strong ROE (≈32.5%) and a pipeline of defense‑related contracts support a growth‑oriented outlook, especially as the broader aerospace & defense sector benefits from sustained government spending.
The stock exhibits high volatility (≈98% 30‑day) and an elevated beta of 2.26, contributing to a pronounced risk profile, while volume trends are decreasing, suggesting waning liquidity. Nonetheless, the company’s robust operating margin (≈29%), strong ROE (≈32.5%) and a pipeline of defense‑related contracts support a growth‑oriented outlook, especially as the broader aerospace & defense sector benefits from sustained government spending.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA hierarchy but bearish MACD histogram
- Neutral RSI and decreasing volume indicating uncertainty
- Current price positioned above support yet below resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue and EBITDA growth driven by aftermarket demand
- Strategic acquisition of Honeywell license expanding product line
- Industry tailwinds from defense spending and favorable earnings multiples
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high operating margins and ROE indicating durable profitability
- Diversified customer base across commercial, business, and military aviation
- Positive market sentiment reflected in extreme greed sentiment index
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth36.60%
Profit Margin21.02%
P/E Ratio23.7
ROE32.53%
ROA16.36%
Debt/Equity34.23
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash Flow$19.6M
Free Cash Flow$7.5M
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.3
Support$19.11
Resistance$30.92
MA 20$25.13
MA 50$24.22
MA 200$16.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.09
Valuation
Fair Value$14.87
Target Price$27.75
Upside/Downside10.25%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.26
Volatility98.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.