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ISP:MILIntesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

€5.62

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Intesa Sanpaolo is trading just above a key support level with its short‑term moving averages stacked in a modestly bullish order, while the broader trend remains neutral and the MACD suggests slight bearish pressure. The RSI sits near the midpoint, indicating no extreme momentum, and volume has been stable, implying that price moves are not being driven by sudden spikes.
Fundamentally the stock appears undervalued, with its price‑earnings multiple well below the sector average and a dividend yield that ranks among the highest in European banking. Recent earnings have shattered expectations, delivering record net income and a robust return on equity, while the payout ratio suggests the dividend is sustainable given strong cash generation. The risk profile is moderate: low beta points to limited market volatility, yet the bank faces typical regulatory and geographic exposures in Italy and broader Europe. Overall, the combination of attractive valuation, solid earnings momentum, and a generous dividend supports a positive outlook across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with limited downside
  • Record earnings beat boosting confidence
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers
  • Sustained earnings growth and high ROE
  • Potential upside toward analyst targets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, high‑yield dividend
  • Strong capital position and cash generation
  • Long‑term valuation discount and earnings resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.00%
Profit Margin36.83%
P/E Ratio10.4
ROE14.01%
ROA1.00%
P/B Ratio1.4
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.3
Support€5.47
Resistance€6.01
MA 20€5.73
MA 50€5.53
MA 200€5.61
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Target Price€6.73
Upside/Downside19.78%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.38
Volatility26.65%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.