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ISP:MILIntesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-17 - not real-time

€6.91

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. is priced at €6.91 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 12.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 73.9 (overbought) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at €6.26 up to resistance at €6.93.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 12.3 times earnings against the sector's 17.0. Sell-side targets cluster 3.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.4% on a 37.0% profit margin. The 5.49% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.8%, a beta of 0.47 and a maximum drawdown of 19.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 5 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 73.9 signals overbought conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 5.83

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 73.9 signals overbought conditions
  • P/E of 12.3 versus sector average of 17.0

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 12.3 versus sector average of 17.0
  • Profit margin of 37.0% is healthy
  • Dividend yield of 5.49%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin36.96%
P/E Ratio12.3
ROE14.26%
ROA1.00%
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow€3.8B
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI73.9
Support€6.26
Resistance€6.93
MA 20€6.65
MA 50€6.30
MA 200€5.83
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.66

Valuation

Target Price€7.16
Upside/Downside3.49%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility18.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.