ISA:BVCInterconexion Electrica SA ESP Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
R$30.34
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ISA Energía Brasil (ISAE3.SA) is trading at R$30.34, notably below its 20‑day (R$33.24) and 50‑day (R$33.96) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI of 24.2 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish, suggesting continued downward pressure. However, the dividend yield of 8.61% is exceptionally high, the trailing P/E of 8.5 is well under the industry average of 20.5, and the payout ratio of 74% is supported by a positive free cash flow of R$1.40 bn, pointing to attractive income potential.
Valuation concerns arise from the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly R$10.83, far below the current price, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 74.7%, which raises leverage risk in a sector subject to regulatory scrutiny. The stock’s beta of 0.10 signals low systematic risk, yet 30‑day volatility is high at 24%, and trading volume is modest, implying liquidity constraints.
Valuation concerns arise from the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly R$10.83, far below the current price, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 74.7%, which raises leverage risk in a sector subject to regulatory scrutiny. The stock’s beta of 0.10 signals low systematic risk, yet 30‑day volatility is high at 24%, and trading volume is modest, implying liquidity constraints.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in oversold region suggests potential bounce
- Price testing support at R$30.45
- Bearish MACD and increasing volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Current price significantly above DCF fair value
- High leverage (Debt/Equity 74.7%)
- Strong dividend yield offsets valuation gap
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable utilities sector with low beta
- Attractive dividend yield for income investors
- Potential for debt reduction and price correction over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.10%
Profit Margin24.64%
P/E Ratio8.5
ROE11.27%
ROA4.88%
Debt/Equity74.70
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowR$-1405689984
Free Cash FlowR$1.4B
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI24.2
SupportR$30.45
ResistanceR$35.00
MA 20R$33.24
MA 50R$33.96
MA 200R$33.09
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Fair ValueR$10.83
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility23.96%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.