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IRCTC:NSEIndian Railway Catering & Tourism Corp. Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-14 - not real-time

₹538.85

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

IRCTC’s short‑term moving average sits above its medium‑term average, suggesting a modest near‑term bullish bias, while the long‑term average remains well above the current price, indicating a broader downtrend. The RSI is in a mid‑range zone and the MACD shows a bearish divergence, keeping the technical outlook neutral. Volatility is elevated and beta is low, meaning the stock moves sharply but is less correlated with the market. Fundamentals are strong with solid revenue expansion, healthy profit margins and a sustainable dividend payout, yet valuation metrics such as the price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book ratios are elevated. Market sentiment is at an extreme greed level, and the price is trading near a key support zone with resistance a modest distance away. The company also benefits from a sizable pipeline of railway contracts, which could underpin longer‑term growth.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering at a technical support level
  • bearish MACD signal
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • robust revenue growth and profit margins
  • sustainable dividend yield
  • significant upside potential relative to current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • large order book from railway projects
  • strong cash position versus modest debt
  • long‑term demand for travel and catering services

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin28.37%
P/E Ratio30.3
Debt/Equity1.84
P/B Ratio10.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.6
Support₹528.75
Resistance₹581.30
MA 20₹552.84
MA 50₹541.12
MA 200₹651.09
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.48

Valuation

Target Price₹787.25
Upside/Downside46.10%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility27.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.