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IRB:NSEIRB Infrastructure Developers Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-14 - not real-time

₹20.39

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

IRB Infrastructure Developers is trading at ₹20.39, notably below its 20‑day (₹21.58), 50‑day (₹21.16) and 200‑day (₹21.38) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 35 hints at oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, and volume is on a downtrend, reinforcing short‑term weakness. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted 16% year‑over‑year, while the balance sheet shows a stark debt‑to‑equity ratio of 102% and total debt far exceeding cash reserves, raising solvency concerns. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing PE of 31.9 sits above the industry average of 30, but a forward PE of 21.8 suggests earnings may improve, and the upside potential is estimated at ~40% based on analyst targets. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 89.5), yet recent headlines report a sharp 50% price drop on some platforms, reflecting heightened volatility (26.8% 30‑day) and investor anxiety.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major SMAs
  • bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • high leverage and negative revenue growth

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • forward PE improvement indicating earnings upside
  • potential infrastructure demand tailwinds
  • need for debt reduction to improve balance‑sheet health

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant upside potential (~40%) per analyst targets
  • stable sector fundamentals and government support for toll roads
  • expected earnings growth reflected in forward valuation metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-16.30%
Profit Margin11.57%
P/E Ratio31.9
Debt/Equity102.31
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
Support₹20.07
Resistance₹22.53
MA 20₹21.59
MA 50₹21.16
MA 200₹21.38
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.52

Valuation

Target Price₹28.50
Upside/Downside39.77%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.68%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility26.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.