IPRU:AQUISEUImpresa SGPS SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
RON 1.63
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock trades at 1.625 RON, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (1.546 RON) and the 50‑day SMA (1.44 RON), confirming a short‑term bullish bias, while still below the 200‑day SMA (1.348 RON) trend line. Momentum is moderate with an RSI of 59.9, and the MACD has just slipped into a bearish crossover (MACD line 0.060 vs signal 0.061), generating a small negative histogram. Price sits midway between the calculated support (1.34 RON) and resistance (1.73 RON) zones, but trading volume has been shrinking sharply, and 30‑day volatility is high at 55.5%, indicating a fragile price environment. Beta is near zero (‑0.03), suggesting little correlation with broader market moves, yet the liquidity risk is pronounced given the daily volume of only ~1,000 shares versus a 10‑day average of 42,099.
Fundamentally, IPRU delivers modest revenue growth of 3.7% on a base of 195 M RON, with respectable gross (32.4%) and operating margins (6.7%). However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 22.7) and free cash flow is deeply negative (‑51 M RON), despite positive operating cash flow (≈ 30 M RON). The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.06 hints at a near‑fair valuation relative to assets, but the absence of dividends and a zero PE ratio underscore earnings uncertainty. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced on a book basis but faces significant financial and liquidity headwinds.
Fundamentally, IPRU delivers modest revenue growth of 3.7% on a base of 195 M RON, with respectable gross (32.4%) and operating margins (6.7%). However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 22.7) and free cash flow is deeply negative (‑51 M RON), despite positive operating cash flow (≈ 30 M RON). The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.06 hints at a near‑fair valuation relative to assets, but the absence of dividends and a zero PE ratio underscore earnings uncertainty. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced on a book basis but faces significant financial and liquidity headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term SMAs but MACD turning bearish
- Shrinking volume and high short‑term volatility
- Proximity to strong support at 1.34 RON
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady operating cash flow offset by negative free cash flow
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Valuation near book value with modest revenue growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio offering upside if debt is reduced
- Solid ROE (~10%) and sector demand for electrical components
- Low market beta reducing exposure to systemic market swings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.70%
Profit Margin10.06%
ROE10.76%
ROA5.63%
Debt/Equity22.66
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowRON29.7M
Free Cash FlowRON-51387952
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.9
SupportRON 1.34
ResistanceRON 1.73
MA 20RON 1.55
MA 50RON 1.44
MA 200RON 1.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.03
Volatility55.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.