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INW:MILInfrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

€6.51

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

INW is trading at €6.51, well below its 20‑day (≈€6.70), 50‑day (≈€7.04) and 200‑day (≈€8.21) moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. RSI at 37.7 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line crossing above the signal line provides a short‑term bullish hint. Volume has been increasing, and the price is hovering just above the identified support of €6.405, with resistance near €7.21. The company delivers an 8.5% dividend yield, but the payout ratio exceeds 130%, raising questions about sustainability despite solid operating cash flow. Financially, the firm carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 152%) and a market‑cap of €5.88 bn, while the DCF‑derived fair value of €1.82 indicates significant overvaluation. Compared with an industry PE average of ~33×, INW’s PE of ~17× looks cheap, yet the high leverage and dividend strain temper the attractiveness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price testing support at €6.405
  • bullish MACD crossover despite bearish trend
  • increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high dividend yield offset by >130% payout ratio
  • elevated leverage (Debt/Equity ~152%)
  • significant gap between market price and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • persistent overvaluation relative to intrinsic DCF estimate
  • unsustainable dividend policy given earnings
  • exposure to sector volatility and high debt burden

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin32.69%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE9.06%
ROA3.74%
Debt/Equity152.03
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€776.9M
Free Cash Flow€511.9M
Industry P/E33.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.7
Support€6.41
Resistance€7.21
MA 20€6.70
MA 50€7.04
MA 200€8.21
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value€1.82
Target Price€8.13
Upside/Downside24.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.51%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility31.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.