INW:MILInfrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
€6.51
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
INW is trading at €6.51, well below its 20‑day (≈€6.70), 50‑day (≈€7.04) and 200‑day (≈€8.21) moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. RSI at 37.7 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line crossing above the signal line provides a short‑term bullish hint. Volume has been increasing, and the price is hovering just above the identified support of €6.405, with resistance near €7.21. The company delivers an 8.5% dividend yield, but the payout ratio exceeds 130%, raising questions about sustainability despite solid operating cash flow. Financially, the firm carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 152%) and a market‑cap of €5.88 bn, while the DCF‑derived fair value of €1.82 indicates significant overvaluation. Compared with an industry PE average of ~33×, INW’s PE of ~17× looks cheap, yet the high leverage and dividend strain temper the attractiveness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price testing support at €6.405
- bullish MACD crossover despite bearish trend
- increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- high dividend yield offset by >130% payout ratio
- elevated leverage (Debt/Equity ~152%)
- significant gap between market price and DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- persistent overvaluation relative to intrinsic DCF estimate
- unsustainable dividend policy given earnings
- exposure to sector volatility and high debt burden
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin32.69%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE9.06%
ROA3.74%
Debt/Equity152.03
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€776.9M
Free Cash Flow€511.9M
Industry P/E33.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.7
Support€6.41
Resistance€7.21
MA 20€6.70
MA 50€7.04
MA 200€8.21
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair Value€1.82
Target Price€8.13
Upside/Downside24.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.51%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility31.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.