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INTU:NASDAQIntuit Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$307.07

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Intuit Inc. (INTU) is trading well below its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, signalling a pronounced bearish price trend. The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential technical bounce, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming continued downside momentum. Volume has been increasing, indicating that the recent price decline is supported by active participation. On the fundamentals side, the company posts solid revenue growth, high operating margins and a modest payout ratio, making the current dividend sustainable. The forward PE is well below the industry average, and the DCF‑derived fair value sits substantially higher than today’s price, implying a large upside potential. Analysts remain very positive, with a strong‑buy consensus and target prices well above the current level. Recent news highlighted a earnings beat and a raised outlook for Q4, yet the stock fell sharply in pre‑market trading, reflecting lingering market caution despite the upbeat guidance. Leadership changes in the Small Business segment and the company’s inclusion among top AI stocks add a strategic growth narrative, but short‑term sentiment remains fragile.
Overall, the mix of deep valuation discount, strong cash generation, and emerging AI initiatives creates an attractive entry point for investors with a medium‑ to long‑term horizon, while short‑term traders should remain wary of the bearish technical backdrop and elevated volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA, negative MACD)
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility
  • Strong cash flow but recent pre‑market sell‑off

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Robust revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Strategic AI and small‑business initiatives expanding the addressable market

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable recurring‑revenue franchise across QuickBooks, TurboTax and Credit Karma
  • Sustainable dividend supported by strong free cash flow
  • Low leverage and solid return on equity underpinning long‑term financial health

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin21.91%
P/E Ratio18.7
ROE22.50%
ROA9.46%
Debt/Equity33.45
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$7.9B
Free Cash Flow$5.2B
Industry P/E39.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI28.6
Support$302.36
Resistance$423.99
MA 20$389.19
MA 50$404.82
MA 200$561.35
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.14

Valuation

Fair Value$385.36
Target Price$592.33
Upside/Downside92.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.51%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility80.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.