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INTU:NASDAQIntuit Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$473.67

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Intuit (INTU) is trading at $473.67, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $724 and the median analyst target of $600, implying roughly 28% upside. The stock sits under the 20‑day SMA (≈$410) but remains far beneath the 50‑day ($508) and 200‑day ($654) moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend, yet the MACD histogram is bullish (+18) and the RSI sits at a neutral 57.7, suggesting limited downside pressure. Volume is on an increasing trajectory and volatility is elevated at ~62% over the past 30 days, while beta (~0.86) indicates modest market sensitivity. Fundamentals are strong: 41% revenue growth, 81% gross margin, 15.6% operating margin, and a payout ratio of just 29% on a 0.96% dividend yield, all supported by robust free cash flow and a debt‑free balance sheet. Recent material news – an earnings beat that lifted the share price 18% post‑announcement, an analyst upgrade with a renewed “Buy” rating, and the launch of a new “Construction Edition” for its enterprise suite – reinforce momentum and underscore the company’s expanding SaaS footprint.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and 18% price rally
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite bearish trend
  • Increasing volume and modest beta limiting market swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation upside of ~28% to DCF fair value
  • Strong SaaS growth drivers and new product launch
  • Solid cash generation and low leverage supporting dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable recurring revenue model with high margins
  • Debt‑free balance sheet and sustainable dividend payout
  • Long‑term market tailwinds for financial‑technology software

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth41.00%
Profit Margin21.57%
P/E Ratio30.9
ROE23.46%
ROA10.33%
P/B Ratio6.9
Op. Cash Flow$7.0B
Free Cash Flow$5.3B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.8
Support$349.00
Resistance$483.21
MA 20$410.19
MA 50$507.78
MA 200$654.16
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$724.14
Target Price$605.52
Upside/Downside27.84%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.86
Volatility62.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.