INTU:NASDAQIntuit Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Intuit (INTU) is trading at $473.67, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $724 and the median analyst target of $600, implying roughly 28% upside. The stock sits under the 20‑day SMA (≈$410) but remains far beneath the 50‑day ($508) and 200‑day ($654) moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend, yet the MACD histogram is bullish (+18) and the RSI sits at a neutral 57.7, suggesting limited downside pressure. Volume is on an increasing trajectory and volatility is elevated at ~62% over the past 30 days, while beta (~0.86) indicates modest market sensitivity. Fundamentals are strong: 41% revenue growth, 81% gross margin, 15.6% operating margin, and a payout ratio of just 29% on a 0.96% dividend yield, all supported by robust free cash flow and a debt‑free balance sheet. Recent material news – an earnings beat that lifted the share price 18% post‑announcement, an analyst upgrade with a renewed “Buy” rating, and the launch of a new “Construction Edition” for its enterprise suite – reinforce momentum and underscore the company’s expanding SaaS footprint.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Recent earnings beat and 18% price rally
- Bullish MACD histogram despite bearish trend
- Increasing volume and modest beta limiting market swings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Valuation upside of ~28% to DCF fair value
- Strong SaaS growth drivers and new product launch
- Solid cash generation and low leverage supporting dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Durable recurring revenue model with high margins
- Debt‑free balance sheet and sustainable dividend payout
- Long‑term market tailwinds for financial‑technology software
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.