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INDT:OMXSTOIndutrade AB Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-17 - not real-time

SEK 190.90

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Indutrade is trading at SEK 190.9, essentially at its 52‑week low and below the 20‑day (213.27), 50‑day (214.00) and 200‑day (233.39) moving averages, signaling a bearish price environment. The RSI of 29.3 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD line sits beneath its signal line with a negative histogram, reinforcing short‑term downside momentum. Volume has been decreasing and the 30‑day volatility is exceptionally high at 62.9%, indicating a fragile market structure. Q1 FY2026 earnings call highlighted a modest 1% organic rise in order intake and a book‑to‑bill ratio of 107%, suggesting that demand fundamentals remain intact despite the price weakness. Fundamentally, revenue growth is flat at 0.3% but margins are respectable (gross 35.5%, operating 11.1%, profit 7.9%) and ROE stands at 14.7%. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of SEK 85.9 is less than half the current price, the P/E of 27.4 is slightly below the industry average of 29.6, and the dividend yield of 1.62% with a 44% payout appears sustainable, painting a mixed picture between value concerns and income appeal.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price at 52‑week low with support near SEK 189.9
  • Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Flat revenue growth but solid operating margins
  • DCF fair value far below market price
  • Sustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Limited growth outlook and moderate debt load
  • Elevated liquidity risk due to low trading volume

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.30%
Profit Margin7.86%
P/E Ratio27.4
ROE14.72%
ROA6.91%
Debt/Equity54.74
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash FlowSEK4.0B
Free Cash FlowSEK2.9B
Industry P/E29.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI29.3
SupportSEK 189.90
ResistanceSEK 255.80
MA 20SEK 213.27
MA 50SEK 214.00
MA 200SEK 233.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 85.89
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.62%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.20
Volatility62.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.