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INDF:IDXPT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$31.25

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $31.25, well below its 20‑day (36.47), 50‑day (38.20) and 200‑day (38.26) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bearish bias. However, the RSI is deep in oversold territory at 13, and the price sits just above the identified support level of $31, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce. Volume is increasing, which adds weight to a possible reversal, even as the MACD remains bearish with a widening negative histogram.
On the valuation side, the fund trades at a trailing P/E of 15.1 – roughly in line with broader market averages – while offering an attractive 5.64% dividend yield. The Fear & Greed Index reads "Extreme Greed" (86.7), indicating overall market optimism that could quickly turn volatile. Indeed, 30‑day volatility is high at 55.9%, though the beta of 0.16 suggests the ETF is less sensitive to market swings than the broader IDX. These dynamics combine to paint a picture of a potentially undervalued, income‑focused vehicle that is technically oversold but still facing significant downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI deep oversold (13) indicating potential price rebound
  • Price near support level ($31) with increasing volume
  • High dividend yield (5.64%) providing immediate income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fair valuation (P/E ~15) and stable dividend income
  • Persistently bearish technical trend but no clear breakout
  • Elevated volatility (55.9%) suggesting cautious positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term growth prospects of Indian financial sector
  • Sustained dividend yield supporting total return
  • Regulatory and geographic risks balanced by low beta exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio15.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI13.1
Support$31.00
Resistance$38.25
MA 20$36.47
MA 50$38.20
MA 200$38.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.64%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility55.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.