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INBK:NASDAQFirst Internet Bancorp Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

$19.60

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Internet Bancorp trades around $19.60, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $15.46, implying a ~31% downside based on the computed upside/downside metric. The stock sits below its 20‑day (20.26), 50‑day (21.12) and 200‑day (22.30) simple moving averages, the RSI is at 38.7 and the MACD histogram is negative, all pointing to a bearish short‑term technical outlook. Volume remains stable but modest, and 30‑day volatility is high at over 31%, with a beta near 1.0, suggesting the share price moves in line with the market but with amplified swings. A recent Form 4 filing shows director Joseph A. Fenech bought 1,000 shares for roughly $19,830, providing a modest insider confidence signal. Fundamentally, the company posted a -8% revenue decline, a steep -79.6% profit margin and a trailing EPS of -$4.03, while operating cash flow is only $3.45 M against a cash pile of $456 M and debt of $355 M, leaving a net cash position. Despite the earnings weakness, the forward PE of 4.14 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 16.35, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.47 versus a book value of $41.41 per share highlights a deep discount to net assets. The dividend yield of 1.22% is supported by a low payout ratio of 13.6%, suggesting sustainability. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: bearish technicals and weak earnings clash with a strong balance sheet, attractive valuation multiples and modest dividend income.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, negative MACD)
  • Negative profit margin and trailing EPS
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position relative to debt
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Potential price correction toward DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Deep discount to book value (P/B ~0.47)
  • Forward PE well below industry average
  • Insider buying indicating confidence in turnaround

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.00%
Profit Margin-79.64%
P/E Ratio4.1
ROE-9.46%
ROA-0.62%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$3.4M
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.7
Support$18.95
Resistance$21.76
MA 20$20.26
MA 50$21.12
MA 200$22.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$15.46
Target Price$25.70
Upside/Downside31.12%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.22%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.05
Volatility31.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.