INBK:NASDAQFirst Internet Bancorp Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
$19.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Internet Bancorp trades around $19.60, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $15.46, implying a ~31% downside based on the computed upside/downside metric. The stock sits below its 20‑day (20.26), 50‑day (21.12) and 200‑day (22.30) simple moving averages, the RSI is at 38.7 and the MACD histogram is negative, all pointing to a bearish short‑term technical outlook. Volume remains stable but modest, and 30‑day volatility is high at over 31%, with a beta near 1.0, suggesting the share price moves in line with the market but with amplified swings. A recent Form 4 filing shows director Joseph A. Fenech bought 1,000 shares for roughly $19,830, providing a modest insider confidence signal. Fundamentally, the company posted a -8% revenue decline, a steep -79.6% profit margin and a trailing EPS of -$4.03, while operating cash flow is only $3.45 M against a cash pile of $456 M and debt of $355 M, leaving a net cash position. Despite the earnings weakness, the forward PE of 4.14 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 16.35, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.47 versus a book value of $41.41 per share highlights a deep discount to net assets. The dividend yield of 1.22% is supported by a low payout ratio of 13.6%, suggesting sustainability. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: bearish technicals and weak earnings clash with a strong balance sheet, attractive valuation multiples and modest dividend income.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, negative MACD)
- Negative profit margin and trailing EPS
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position relative to debt
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Potential price correction toward DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Deep discount to book value (P/B ~0.47)
- Forward PE well below industry average
- Insider buying indicating confidence in turnaround
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-8.00%
Profit Margin-79.64%
P/E Ratio4.1
ROE-9.46%
ROA-0.62%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$3.4M
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.7
Support$18.95
Resistance$21.76
MA 20$20.26
MA 50$21.12
MA 200$22.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$15.46
Target Price$25.70
Upside/Downside31.12%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.22%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.05
Volatility31.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.