IMRN:NASDAQImmuron Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-05 - not real-time
$1.10
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Immuron Limited trades around $1.10, barely above the computed support level of $0.99 and below the 20‑day SMA of $1.14, indicating limited upside in the near term. The MACD is bearish with the line under the signal and a negative histogram, while the RSI sits at roughly 49, suggesting a neutral momentum that could tip lower if sellers gain strength. Volume has been on a downtrend and 30‑day volatility is extraordinarily high at about 94%, reflecting a very jittery market despite the “Extreme Greed” sentiment on the fear‑greed index. Fundamentally, the company generates modest revenue of $7.5 M with 4.8% growth and a healthy gross margin of 64%, but operating losses of 47% and a trailing EPS of –$0.52 reveal deep profitability challenges. Cash balances of $10 M comfortably exceed the modest debt of $0.2 M, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.99 suggests the stock is trading at a discount to its net assets. Analysts’ target price of $3.88 implies a potential upside of over 250%, yet the historical max drawdown of 70% and negative ROE highlight the significant risk. In summary, the stock appears undervalued on a balance‑sheet basis but is hampered by poor earnings, high volatility, and the inherent uncertainties of biotech development.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support with bearish MACD
- Decreasing volume and extreme short‑term volatility
- Negative earnings and operating losses
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside potential indicated by analyst target price
- Strong cash position relative to minimal debt
- Ongoing Phase II trials that could catalyze a valuation re‑rating
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential breakthrough from pipeline products (Travelan, IMM‑529)
- Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio offering a margin of safety
- Strategic collaborations with US military research institutes
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin-62.14%
P/E Ratio-110.0
ROE-39.68%
ROA-21.93%
Debt/Equity1.56
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$-4696813
Free Cash Flow$-3420940
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.3
Support$0.99
Resistance$1.35
MA 20$1.14
MA 50$1.04
MA 200$1.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2
Valuation
Target Price$3.88
Upside/Downside252.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility94.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.