IMCV:NASDAQiShares Morningstar Mid-Cap Value ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
$89.60
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The iShares Morningstar Mid‑Cap Value ETF (IMCV) is trading at $89.60, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $88.54, its 50‑day SMA of $86.93 and its 200‑day SMA of $83.43, indicating a bullish price trend. RSI sits at 61.4, suggesting momentum is still on the upside but not overbought, while the MACD shows a bearish signal with a slight negative histogram, hinting at a possible short‑term pullback. The fund is hovering near its technical resistance at $89.74 and just above the identified support level of $87.37, making the next price move pivotal. Volume has been decreasing (average 14,860 vs. today’s 10,267), which could limit upside momentum and raise liquidity concerns. Despite this, the ETF boasts a low beta of 0.68, a very low expense ratio of 0.06%, and a dividend yield of 1.96%, providing defensive characteristics and income potential. The market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear‑Greed Index 91.6), reinforcing the current bullish bias but also warning of potential over‑optimism.
No material news specifically mentions IMCV, so the outlook relies on the quantitative technical setup and fundamentals. The fund’s low tracking error and stable expense structure reduce tracking risk, while the modest 30‑day volatility of about 10% suggests a moderate risk profile. With the Fed’s recent rate cuts supporting value‑oriented mid‑cap stocks, IMCV is well positioned for continued outperformance, provided price action respects the key support‑resistance zones and volume stabilizes.
No material news specifically mentions IMCV, so the outlook relies on the quantitative technical setup and fundamentals. The fund’s low tracking error and stable expense structure reduce tracking risk, while the modest 30‑day volatility of about 10% suggests a moderate risk profile. With the Fed’s recent rate cuts supporting value‑oriented mid‑cap stocks, IMCV is well positioned for continued outperformance, provided price action respects the key support‑resistance zones and volume stabilizes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $89.74
- Decreasing trading volume
- Bearish MACD signal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low expense ratio (0.06%)
- Dividend yield of 1.96%
- Favorable Fed rate‑cut environment for value mid‑caps
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Broad mid‑cap value exposure
- Low beta (0.68) indicating lower market volatility
- Consistently low tracking error and stable expense structure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.06%
AUM$1.0B
Inception Date2004-06-28
Avg Daily Volume14,860
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.96%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.4
Support$87.37
Resistance$89.74
MA 20$88.54
MA 50$86.93
MA 200$83.43
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility10.07%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.