IFC:TSXIntact Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time
CA$266.31
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Intact Financial Corporation is neutral at CAD 266.31, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 7.9%. Relative strength is 40.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. The recent range runs from support at CAD 261.53 up to resistance at CAD 281.87.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 14.8 versus a 17.1 sector average, below the peer group. Consensus targets land 22.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 3.7% on a 12.4% profit margin. The 2.17% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 27.7%, a beta of -0.05 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 14.8 versus a 17.1 sector average, below the peer group. Consensus targets land 22.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 3.7% on a 12.4% profit margin. The 2.17% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 27.7%, a beta of -0.05 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Intact Financial TSX:IFC stands out as a steady financial to own, even as rates begin to rise again.Intact Financial stock has delivered a 78.Seeking Alpha1monIntact Financial Corporation IFC:CA Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptAlso note that this call is being...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 270.41
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of -7.9%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.8 versus sector average of 17.1
- Trading below the 200-day average of 270.41
- Analyst targets imply +22.5% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.8 versus sector average of 17.1
- Analyst targets imply +22.5% versus the current price
- Return on equity of 16.1%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.70%
Profit Margin12.39%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE16.09%
ROA4.70%
Debt/Equity23.00
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash FlowCA$4.2B
Free Cash FlowCA$5.3B
Industry P/E17.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.4
SupportCA$261.53
ResistanceCA$281.87
MA 20CA$268.93
MA 50CA$283.03
MA 200CA$270.41
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.23
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$433.41
Target PriceCA$326.23
Upside/Downside22.50%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.05
Volatility27.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.