ICT:PSEInternational Container Terminal Services, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
$12.29
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $12.29, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (12.38) and the 50‑day SMA (11.37), indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the RSI sits at a neutral 53 and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, suggesting modest upside momentum. The price remains well above the identified support at $10.36 and below the resistance near $13.88, giving the trade room to breathe.
Fundamentally, ICT posted a 23% revenue surge, delivering an impressive 58% operating margin and a 51% ROE, underscoring strong profitability, and it pays a 2.5% dividend with a 48% payout ratio, which appears sustainable given robust operating cash flow. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity of 192% and total debt of $4.76 bn, while the DCF fair value of $15.99 suggests the market is undervaluing the shares. The combination of high volatility (≈97% 30‑day), low beta (0.37), and exposure across 20 countries adds layers of risk, but the company’s global terminal footprint and secular growth in container traffic provide a compelling long‑term narrative.
Fundamentally, ICT posted a 23% revenue surge, delivering an impressive 58% operating margin and a 51% ROE, underscoring strong profitability, and it pays a 2.5% dividend with a 48% payout ratio, which appears sustainable given robust operating cash flow. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity of 192% and total debt of $4.76 bn, while the DCF fair value of $15.99 suggests the market is undervaluing the shares. The combination of high volatility (≈97% 30‑day), low beta (0.37), and exposure across 20 countries adds layers of risk, but the company’s global terminal footprint and secular growth in container traffic provide a compelling long‑term narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term SMAs with bullish trend direction
- Neutral RSI and slightly bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume indicating potential consolidation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 23% and strong operating margins
- DCF fair value ($15.99) well above current price
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.5% with healthy cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High ROE (51%) and robust free cash flow generation
- Secular demand for container terminal services worldwide
- Diversified global footprint mitigating single‑market exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.20%
Profit Margin32.40%
P/E Ratio24.1
ROE51.39%
ROA13.48%
Debt/Equity191.76
P/B Ratio13.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.0B
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.2
Support$10.36
Resistance$13.88
MA 20$12.38
MA 50$11.37
MA 200$9.42
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$15.99
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility97.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.