ICICIGI:NSEICICIGI FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-14 - not real-time
₹1,459.80
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited trades at INR 1,459.80, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 10.9%. Relative strength is 19.1 — oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near INR 1,443.70 and resistance around INR 1,650.00.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 17.3%, a beta of -0.20 and a maximum drawdown of 28.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 17.3%, a beta of -0.20 and a maximum drawdown of 28.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 19.1 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1798.83
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 19.1 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1798.83
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 28.5%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 19.1 signals oversold conditions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1459.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI19.1
Support₹1,443.70
Resistance₹1,650.00
MA 20₹1,565.33
MA 50₹1,639.03
MA 200₹1,798.83
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.95
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.20
Volatility17.27%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.