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ICG:LSEICG plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

£1,529.41

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ICG plc is trading at GBp 1529, well below its 200‑day SMA of 2011 and the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly GBp 5419, indicating a deep discount. The stock sits just above the identified support level of GBp 1524 and shows an RSI of 32, suggesting it is oversold, while the MACD remains in bearish territory. Despite the bearish technical backdrop, the company delivers a high dividend yield of 5.28% with a modest payout ratio of 40.8%, and its PE of 7.5 is far under the industry average of 17, reinforcing the valuation case. Revenue has surged 44.9% year‑over‑year, and operating margins exceed 60%, underscoring strong profitability. Recent strategic partnership with Amundi adds credibility and potential pipeline for fee‑related income. Volatility is elevated at 41% over the past 30 days, but a beta of 0.7 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. Overall, the confluence of a sizable valuation gap, robust cash generation, and attractive dividend makes ICG a compelling buy at current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with oversold RSI
  • Increasing volume indicating possible short‑term bounce
  • Discount to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Undervalued relative to peers (PE 7.5 vs industry 17)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic partnership with Amundi expanding fee income
  • Diversified global private‑equity and credit portfolio
  • Long‑term cash generation supporting dividend and growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth44.90%
Profit Margin54.45%
P/E Ratio7.5
ROE24.37%
ROA6.27%
Debt/Equity50.65
P/B Ratio167.8
Op. Cash Flow£590.6M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.8
Support£1,524.00
Resistance£1,774.00
MA 20£1,661.17
MA 50£1,814.87
MA 200£2,011.36
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.71

Valuation

Fair Value£5,419.38
Target Price£2,585.54
Upside/Downside69.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.70
Volatility41.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.