ICE:NYSEIntercontinental Exchange Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$151.69
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: ICE is charting below its short‑ and long‑term moving averages and the MACD line sits beneath its signal, signaling a bearish bias. The RSI has slipped into oversold territory and volume is on a downtrend, suggesting further downside pressure but also a potential for a short‑term bounce off the identified support level.
Fundamental backdrop: The company delivers strong top‑line growth, expanding revenue at a healthy pace and maintaining high operating margins. Cash flow generation comfortably covers dividend commitments, keeping the payout ratio modest and the dividend sustainable. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load relative to equity, and the current price trades below the DCF‑derived fair value, indicating upside potential. Recent product launches in GPU compute futures and new index futures underscore ongoing revenue diversification.
Fundamental backdrop: The company delivers strong top‑line growth, expanding revenue at a healthy pace and maintaining high operating margins. Cash flow generation comfortably covers dividend commitments, keeping the payout ratio modest and the dividend sustainable. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load relative to equity, and the current price trades below the DCF‑derived fair value, indicating upside potential. Recent product launches in GPU compute futures and new index futures underscore ongoing revenue diversification.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price is near a technical support level
- oversold RSI suggests a possible rebound
- DCF indicates a modest upside from current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- robust revenue growth and high operating margins
- new futures contracts expanding fee income
- undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- sustainable dividend supported by strong cash flow
- durable business model with recurring data and exchange fees
- strategic diversification into emerging product lines
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth20.40%
Profit Margin37.67%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE13.85%
ROA2.11%
Debt/Equity70.99
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$5.0B
Free Cash Flow$3.7B
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support$151.51
Resistance$161.34
MA 20$155.78
MA 50$158.36
MA 200$162.90
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$159.49
Target Price$199.53
Upside/Downside31.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility20.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.