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ICE:NYSEIntercontinental Exchange Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$151.69

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: ICE is charting below its short‑ and long‑term moving averages and the MACD line sits beneath its signal, signaling a bearish bias. The RSI has slipped into oversold territory and volume is on a downtrend, suggesting further downside pressure but also a potential for a short‑term bounce off the identified support level.
Fundamental backdrop: The company delivers strong top‑line growth, expanding revenue at a healthy pace and maintaining high operating margins. Cash flow generation comfortably covers dividend commitments, keeping the payout ratio modest and the dividend sustainable. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load relative to equity, and the current price trades below the DCF‑derived fair value, indicating upside potential. Recent product launches in GPU compute futures and new index futures underscore ongoing revenue diversification.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price is near a technical support level
  • oversold RSI suggests a possible rebound
  • DCF indicates a modest upside from current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • robust revenue growth and high operating margins
  • new futures contracts expanding fee income
  • undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable dividend supported by strong cash flow
  • durable business model with recurring data and exchange fees
  • strategic diversification into emerging product lines

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.40%
Profit Margin37.67%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE13.85%
ROA2.11%
Debt/Equity70.99
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$5.0B
Free Cash Flow$3.7B
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support$151.51
Resistance$161.34
MA 20$155.78
MA 50$158.36
MA 200$162.90
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Fair Value$159.49
Target Price$199.53
Upside/Downside31.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility20.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.