IBTH:NASDAQiShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Treasury ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$22.33
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
IBTH is trading near its short‑term support of $22.32 with a 20‑day SMA of $22.36 and a 200‑day SMA of $22.45, indicating a modest downtrend. The RSI of 39.8 suggests the ETF is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram (+0.0008) and a bullish MACD signal hint at a potential near‑term reversal.
Risk metrics are favorable: beta is effectively zero (0.01), 30‑day volatility is low at 1.17%, and the fund tracks its benchmark with zero tracking error. The expense ratio is ultra‑low at 0.07% and the 30‑day SEC yield stands at 3.85%, delivering a strong income component in a high‑yield environment. The market sentiment indicator shows “Extreme Greed” (88.5), supporting the current demand for Treasury‑linked income.
Risk metrics are favorable: beta is effectively zero (0.01), 30‑day volatility is low at 1.17%, and the fund tracks its benchmark with zero tracking error. The expense ratio is ultra‑low at 0.07% and the 30‑day SEC yield stands at 3.85%, delivering a strong income component in a high‑yield environment. The market sentiment indicator shows “Extreme Greed” (88.5), supporting the current demand for Treasury‑linked income.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bullish MACD signal
- Oversold RSI indicating upside potential
- Increasing volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable income from ~3.85% yield
- Minimal tracking error and ultra‑low expense ratio
- Continued low volatility and near‑zero beta
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Defined maturity in Dec 2027 aligns with horizon investors
- High current yield relative to comparable Treasury products
- Low credit and interest‑rate risk given Treasury backing
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.07%
AUM$2.2B
Inception Date2020-02-25
Avg Daily Volume531,100
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.84%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.8
Support$22.32
Resistance$22.41
MA 20$22.36
MA 50$22.38
MA 200$22.45
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility1.17%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.