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IBRX:NASDAQImmunityBio, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$7.20

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ImmunityBio (IBRX) trades around $7.20, just above its 20‑day SMA of $7.52 and the 50‑day SMA of $7.55, indicating a flat price action. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits at 45.7 (neutral), while the MACD shows a bearish divergence (line –0.176 vs signal –0.127). Volatility is extreme at 70% over the past 30 days and beta is near 2, underscoring high market sensitivity. Fundamentally, the stock is highly valued with a forward PE of 120 and a price‑to‑sales ratio of 53, far above the industry PE average of 24.9, and it carries a negative book value. Revenue has surged 167% year‑over‑year, but the company remains loss‑making with negative operating cash flow and a substantial debt load. The most material catalyst is the recent FDA warning letter and ensuing securities class‑action lawsuits, which triggered a 21% price plunge in March and have driven a flood of legal‑related investor alerts. These pressures, combined with decreasing volume and a support level near $6.80, suggest the near‑term outlook is fragile despite the long‑term potential of its immunotherapy pipeline.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and flat SMA positioning
  • Recent FDA warning and class‑action litigation
  • High volatility and beta amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth indicating pipeline traction
  • Potential resolution of regulatory and legal issues
  • Valuation still stretched relative to earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Biotech sector's long‑term upside from novel immunotherapies
  • Continued cash burn and high debt constrain flexibility
  • Overvaluation may limit upside unless breakthrough data emerge

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth167.60%
P/E Ratio120.0
ROA-34.38%
P/B Ratio-8.7
Op. Cash Flow$-294390016
Free Cash Flow$-193704624
Industry P/E24.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.7
Support$6.80
Resistance$8.64
MA 20$7.52
MA 50$7.55
MA 200$5.02
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Target Price$13.00
Upside/Downside80.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.97
Volatility70.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.