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IBM:NYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$222.75

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

IBM is navigating a bearish technical landscape, with the price trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, a neutral‑to‑slightly‑oversold RSI, and a bearish MACD histogram. Decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility add pressure, while the stock hovers just above a key support zone and faces a sizable resistance barrier.
On the fundamentals side, IBM delivers solid top‑line growth and robust profitability, highlighted by strong gross and operating margins and an exceptionally high return on equity. The company generates ample cash flow to comfortably cover its dividend, which offers a healthy yield, though its balance sheet is weighted heavily toward debt. Analyst sentiment remains positive with a consensus buy and upside potential relative to current pricing, supported by strategic AI and hybrid‑cloud initiatives.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Proximity to near‑term support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings growth and cash generation
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Analyst consensus and upside to target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in AI and hybrid cloud
  • Sustainable dividend income
  • Resilient profitability despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin15.61%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE35.77%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity211.17
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash Flow$14.0B
Free Cash Flow$13.1B
Industry P/E38.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.9
Support$212.34
Resistance$258.09
MA 20$229.26
MA 50$238.85
MA 200$270.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value$208.06
Target Price$278.18
Upside/Downside24.88%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility36.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.