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IBM:NYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time

$231.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

International Business Machines Corporation is priced at $231.70 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have gained 12.6%. RSI sits at 46.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $227.40 up to resistance at $241.80.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 20.5 times earnings against the sector's 35.3. Analyst price targets sit 5.9% above the current price. The 2.92% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 30.4%, a beta of 0.88 and a maximum drawdown of 37.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.

Top Market Events

Securities Fraud Investigation Into International Business Machines Corporation IBM Announced – Shareholders Who Lost...IBM reports modest growth amid shifting client priorities, while focusing on AI and quantum computing investments to...Morningstar%2c Inc.1monInternational Business Machines Corporation IBM Securities Investigation Notice - Levi &...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 262.99
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 20.5 versus sector average of 35.3
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 262.99

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 20.5 versus sector average of 35.3
  • Analyst targets imply +5.9% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 15.5% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin15.52%
P/E Ratio20.5
ROE34.46%
ROA5.30%
Debt/Equity188.97
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash Flow$14.9B
Free Cash Flow$12.0B
Industry P/E35.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.9
Support$227.40
Resistance$241.80
MA 20$234.37
MA 50$242.38
MA 200$262.99
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.29

Valuation

Fair Value$108.70
Target Price$245.35
Upside/Downside5.89%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.92%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility30.38%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.