IBM:NYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation analysis
Data as of Sep 16, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $248.37
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
International Business Machines Corporation is priced at $248.37 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have gained 9.7%. RSI sits at 60.1, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $228.96 up to resistance at $251.82.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 22.1 times earnings against the sector's 32.5. The 2.71% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 29.9%, a beta of 0.89 and a maximum drawdown of 37.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 22.1 times earnings against the sector's 32.5. The 2.71% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 29.9%, a beta of 0.89 and a maximum drawdown of 37.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- IBM reports modest growth amid shifting client priorities, while focusing on AI and quantum computing investments to...
- Morningstar%2c Inc.1monInternational Business Machines Corporation IBM Securities Investigation Notice - Levi &...
- Yahoo Finance1monInternational Business Machines Corp IBM Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Revenue .
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 260.68
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 22.1 versus sector average of 32.5
- Trading below the 200-day average of 260.68
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 22.1 versus sector average of 32.5
- Profit margin of 15.5% is healthy
- Return on equity of 34.5%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin15.52%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE34.46%
ROA5.30%
Debt/Equity188.97
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$14.9B
Free Cash Flow$12.0B
Industry P/E32.5
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI60.1
Support$228.96
Resistance$251.82
MA 20$236.10
MA 50$236.16
MA 200$260.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.71
Valuation
Fair Value$104.65
Target Price$245.35
Upside/Downside-1.22%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.71%
Risk assessment
Beta0.89
Volatility29.87%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.