IBIT:NASDAQiShares Bitcoin Trust analysis
Data as of Oct 3, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $47.73
- Risk: high
- 8/10High risk
Summary
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF trades at $47.73, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has gained 15.8%. Relative strength is 63.7 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $42.37 up to resistance at $49.39.
The 0.25% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $61.44B in assets.
Risk comes out at 8 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 41.6%, a beta of 1.74 and a maximum drawdown of 53.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 2/10.
The 0.25% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $61.44B in assets.
Risk comes out at 8 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 41.6%, a beta of 1.74 and a maximum drawdown of 53.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 2/10.
Top market events
- Neil Patel, The Motley Fool Sep 3, 2026 0 Image source: Getty Images.
- iShares Bitcoin Trust IBIT last closed at $47.
- MSTR stock has lost 12 percentage points more than BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF IBIT in 2026: mNAV premium...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.92
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.92
- 30-day volatility of 41.6%
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- 30-day volatility of 41.6%
- Beta of 1.74 versus the benchmark
- Maximum drawdown of 53.3%
Key metrics
Fund metrics
Expense Ratio0.25%
AUM$61.4B
Inception Date2024-01-05
Avg Daily Volume45,783,320
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support$42.37
Resistance$49.39
MA 20$46.01
MA 50$41.97
MA 200$41.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.09
Risk assessment
Beta1.74
Volatility41.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.