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IBGB:NASDAQiShares iBonds Dec 2045 Term Treasury ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time

$23.34

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

iShares iBonds Dec 2045 Term Treasury ETF trades at $23.34, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 39.8 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $23.26 as support and $23.85 as the nearer resistance level.
The 0.07% expense ratio is very low for its category, and the fund manages $9.4M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 7.5%, a beta of 0.18 and a maximum drawdown of 9.4%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.

Top Market Events

iShares iBonds Dec 2045 Term Treasury ETF IBGB - $0.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 24.48
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 24.48
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Low expense ratio of 0.07%
  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.07%
AUM$9.4M
Inception Date2025-03-25
Avg Daily Volume1,500
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.78%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.8
Support$23.26
Resistance$23.85
MA 20$23.51
MA 50$23.89
MA 200$24.48
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility7.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.