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HZO:NYSEMarineMax, Inc. (FL) Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$33.62

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

MarineMax (HZO) is trading at $33.62, above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages but still below the 200‑day average, signaling a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI hovering in the mid‑50s indicates neutral momentum, while a negative MACD histogram points to lingering bearish pressure. With a beta well above 2 and 30‑day volatility exceeding 50%, price swings are pronounced.
The balance sheet is strained – debt‑to‑equity tops 120% and earnings are negative (trailing EPS –$2.85), keeping intrinsic value low. A DCF fair value around $28.9 suggests the market is pricing a modest premium, largely fueled by recent takeover interest. No dividend and weak profitability reinforce a value‑oriented, high‑risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Takeover rumor premium potential
  • Technical bullish bias (price above short‑term SMAs)
  • Support near $31 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Uncertainty around deal completion
  • Weak profitability and high leverage
  • Neutral momentum indicators (RSI, MACD)

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained negative earnings and low margins
  • Elevated debt levels limiting financial flexibility
  • Cyclical consumer exposure and high volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-16.50%
Profit Margin-2.83%
P/E Ratio20.7
ROE-6.46%
ROA1.14%
Debt/Equity127.78
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$218.7M
Free Cash Flow$126.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.1
Support$31.12
Resistance$36.25
MA 20$33.91
MA 50$31.32
MA 200$27.45
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value$28.86
Target Price$35.29
Upside/Downside4.95%
GradeFair
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta2.04
Volatility52.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.