HYUNDAI:NSEHyundai Motor India Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
₹1,850.90
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hyundai Motor India trades at ₹1,850.9, just above its 20‑day SMA (₹1,833) and marginally above the 50‑day SMA (₹1,851), but remains far below the 200‑day SMA (₹2,221), confirming a short‑term bearish bias despite a neutral RSI of 51 and a bullish MACD histogram. Volume is increasing and the stock sits between a support of ₹1,760 and resistance of ₹1,944, while a low beta of 0.42 suggests limited market‑wide price swings, yet 30‑day volatility is elevated at 29%, reflecting heightened intra‑day moves.
Fundamentally the company posts a solid 4.8% revenue growth, robust ROE of 30% and healthy cash generation (₹73 bn operating cash flow), supporting a sustainable dividend (31% payout, 1.14% yield). However, the DCF fair value of ₹452 versus the current price signals significant overvaluation, and the recent MSCI index exclusion adds a negative catalyst, even as Q4 results showed record domestic sales and aggressive investment plans. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 91.6) may be overstretching the upside.
Fundamentally the company posts a solid 4.8% revenue growth, robust ROE of 30% and healthy cash generation (₹73 bn operating cash flow), supporting a sustainable dividend (31% payout, 1.14% yield). However, the DCF fair value of ₹452 versus the current price signals significant overvaluation, and the recent MSCI index exclusion adds a negative catalyst, even as Q4 results showed record domestic sales and aggressive investment plans. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 91.6) may be overstretching the upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning near support/resistance
- MSCI index exclusion pressure
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong earnings growth and record Q4 sales
- Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow
- Aggressive investment in EV and export markets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and consistent profitability
- Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- Cyclical nature of the auto sector and ongoing regulatory changes
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin7.68%
P/E Ratio27.7
ROE29.92%
ROA12.40%
Debt/Equity5.48
P/B Ratio7.5
Op. Cash Flow₹73.2B
Free Cash Flow₹17.1B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.3
Support₹1,760.00
Resistance₹1,944.00
MA 20₹1,833.05
MA 50₹1,850.58
MA 200₹2,221.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value₹452.23
Target Price₹2,214.04
Upside/Downside19.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.14%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility29.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.