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HYUNDAI:NSEHyundai Motor India Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

₹1,850.90

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hyundai Motor India trades at ₹1,850.9, just above its 20‑day SMA (₹1,833) and marginally above the 50‑day SMA (₹1,851), but remains far below the 200‑day SMA (₹2,221), confirming a short‑term bearish bias despite a neutral RSI of 51 and a bullish MACD histogram. Volume is increasing and the stock sits between a support of ₹1,760 and resistance of ₹1,944, while a low beta of 0.42 suggests limited market‑wide price swings, yet 30‑day volatility is elevated at 29%, reflecting heightened intra‑day moves.
Fundamentally the company posts a solid 4.8% revenue growth, robust ROE of 30% and healthy cash generation (₹73 bn operating cash flow), supporting a sustainable dividend (31% payout, 1.14% yield). However, the DCF fair value of ₹452 versus the current price signals significant overvaluation, and the recent MSCI index exclusion adds a negative catalyst, even as Q4 results showed record domestic sales and aggressive investment plans. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 91.6) may be overstretching the upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical positioning near support/resistance
  • MSCI index exclusion pressure
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings growth and record Q4 sales
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow
  • Aggressive investment in EV and export markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE and consistent profitability
  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Cyclical nature of the auto sector and ongoing regulatory changes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin7.68%
P/E Ratio27.7
ROE29.92%
ROA12.40%
Debt/Equity5.48
P/B Ratio7.5
Op. Cash Flow₹73.2B
Free Cash Flow₹17.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.3
Support₹1,760.00
Resistance₹1,944.00
MA 20₹1,833.05
MA 50₹1,850.58
MA 200₹2,221.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value₹452.23
Target Price₹2,214.04
Upside/Downside19.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.14%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.42
Volatility29.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.