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HYTR:NYSECounterpoint High Yield Trend ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$21.35

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HYTR is trading just below its 20‑day (21.36) and 50‑day (21.42) simple moving averages, with the price at 21.35 and sitting between a clear support level of 21.165 and resistance at 21.46. The technical picture is mixed: the RSI sits near the neutral 46 mark, the MACD histogram is slightly positive and the signal line is labeled bullish, yet the overall trend is flagged as bearish and the 30‑day volatility is modest at under 5%. On the fundamentals side, the fund offers an attractive dividend yield of around 5.7%, a very low beta of 0.23, and a remarkable YTD return of roughly 46%, while the expense ratio sits at 0.88%. Market sentiment is at the extreme greed end of the Fear & Greed Index (≈ 90), suggesting strong investor enthusiasm despite the bearish technical bias.
Given the stable volume pattern, low tracking error and minimal drawdown (‑3.8%), the ETF presents a relatively low‑risk profile for income‑focused investors. However, the bearish price action and modest upside potential relative to its recent highs temper the enthusiasm. Investors should weigh the high income benefit against the short‑term price weakness and the fund’s higher expense ratio when deciding on positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating near‑term downside pressure
  • Strong dividend yield providing income cushion
  • Low beta and limited recent drawdown reducing volatility risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High YTD return and extreme‑greed market sentiment supporting price recovery
  • Stable volume and low tracking error ensuring reliable exposure
  • Continued income appeal from the 5.7% yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent high‑yield environment favoring the fund’s strategy
  • Low beta and modest volatility aligning with defensive, income‑oriented goals
  • Low tracking error and zero premium/discount indicating efficient index replication

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.88%
AUM$270.8M
Inception Date2020-01-22
Avg Daily Volume52,290
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield5.69%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.0
Support$21.17
Resistance$21.46
MA 20$21.36
MA 50$21.42
MA 200$21.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility4.75%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.