HYTR:NYSECounterpoint High Yield Trend ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$21.19
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
HYTR is trading at $21.19, barely above its 30‑day support of $21.165 and just below the 20‑day SMA of $21.43, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs are virtually flat (21.43 vs 21.42), reflecting a neutral price trend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI of 32 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish. Volume has been increasing, suggesting renewed buying interest despite the neutral trend. The fund’s beta of 0.24 and 30‑day volatility of 4.6 % underscore its low market‑risk profile. With a 5.68 % dividend yield and an expense ratio under 1 %, the ETF offers attractive income at modest cost. The Fear & Greed Index at 89 (Extreme Greed) signals strong market optimism toward risk assets, which can buoy high‑yield credit.
Tracking error is zero, eliminating manager‑specific deviation from the benchmark. Liquidity appears solid, given an average three‑month volume near 70 k shares and total assets of roughly $262 M. However, the fund’s concentration in high‑yield/junk bonds introduces medium sector concentration risk. The modest max drawdown of ‑3.8 % and low beta suggest resilience in a volatile environment. Overall, the blend of income, low cost, and defensive risk metrics makes HYTR a reasonable hold with upside potential if oversold conditions correct. Investors should monitor the MACD trend and price action around the $21.60 resistance for confirmation.
Tracking error is zero, eliminating manager‑specific deviation from the benchmark. Liquidity appears solid, given an average three‑month volume near 70 k shares and total assets of roughly $262 M. However, the fund’s concentration in high‑yield/junk bonds introduces medium sector concentration risk. The modest max drawdown of ‑3.8 % and low beta suggest resilience in a volatile environment. Overall, the blend of income, low cost, and defensive risk metrics makes HYTR a reasonable hold with upside potential if oversold conditions correct. Investors should monitor the MACD trend and price action around the $21.60 resistance for confirmation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price hovering just above support
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low expense ratio (0.88%)
- High dividend yield (5.68%)
- Low beta and volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Zero tracking error
- Sustainable income stream
- Defensive risk profile with low drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.88%
AUM$261.9M
Inception Date2020-01-22
Avg Daily Volume61,930
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield5.68%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI32.1
Support$21.17
Resistance$21.60
MA 20$21.43
MA 50$21.42
MA 200$21.71
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta0.24
Volatility4.62%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.