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HYMC:NASDAQHycroft Mining Holding Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$33.19

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Hycroft Mining is trading at $33.19, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of $22.90 but sitting below the 20‑day ($38.21) and 50‑day ($37.68) averages, indicating a long‑term bullish bias yet short‑term weakness. Technical momentum is bearish, with the MACD line under the signal line and a negative histogram, while the RSI of 40.7 suggests the stock is not yet oversold. Volatility is extreme at nearly 97% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1.6, pointing to a highly responsive price profile. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $83.6 M, and a trailing EPS of –$1.01, resulting in a price‑to‑book ratio of 13.5 – a clear sign of overvaluation given its development‑stage status. However, recent exploration updates highlight a high‑grade silver‑gold interval (7 m at 1,242 g/t Ag and 6.6 g/t Au) and the hiring of RESPEC to evaluate underground mining, while hedge funds have shown notable interest. Contrasting this upside, a shareholder‑rights lawsuit alleging fraud adds a legal‑risk overlay.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • Extreme 30‑day volatility and high beta
  • Negative earnings and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Promising high‑grade exploration results
  • Hedge‑fund backing and strong cash position relative to debt
  • Ongoing legal investigation that could impact sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Large Nevada resource base with potential underground mining
  • Potential to transition from development to production
  • Strategic position in the precious‑metal sector amid high gold/silver prices

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-46.1
ROE-86.11%
ROA-26.76%
Debt/Equity0.01
P/B Ratio13.5
Op. Cash Flow$-104493000
Free Cash Flow$-36258248

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.7
Support$31.35
Resistance$46.30
MA 20$38.21
MA 50$37.68
MA 200$22.90
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.04

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.69
Volatility97.27%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.