HYMC:NASDAQHycroft Mining Holding Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time
$26.01
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
HYMC trades at $26.01, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 29.18 and 50‑day SMA of 34.97, while remaining just above the 200‑day SMA of 25.58. The RSI at 38.7 signals a mildly oversold condition, but the bearish MACD histogram (-0.04) and a high beta of 2.28 underscore continued downside pressure and elevated market sensitivity. Volume is increasing, yet the stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 90%, indicating a very noisy price environment.
Fundamentally the company has no revenue, negative EBITDA of $83.6 M, and a trailing EPS of –$1.01, resulting in a forward PE of –36 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 10.6, which points to significant overvaluation relative to its current cash‑flow generation. However, the recent technical report touts a projected post‑tax NPV of $10 B and a 51‑year mine life, suggesting a long‑run upside if the project advances as planned. The balance sheet remains strong with $190 M cash and negligible debt, but ongoing negative operating cash flow and a historic max drawdown of –58% add to the risk profile.
Fundamentally the company has no revenue, negative EBITDA of $83.6 M, and a trailing EPS of –$1.01, resulting in a forward PE of –36 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 10.6, which points to significant overvaluation relative to its current cash‑flow generation. However, the recent technical report touts a projected post‑tax NPV of $10 B and a 51‑year mine life, suggesting a long‑run upside if the project advances as planned. The balance sheet remains strong with $190 M cash and negligible debt, but ongoing negative operating cash flow and a historic max drawdown of –58% add to the risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD and high volatility
- Increasing volume but limited near‑term catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Technical report indicating $10 B NPV and 51‑year mine life
- Strong cash position with minimal debt
- Potential upside as project milestones are achieved
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑run value creation from a multi‑generational gold‑silver asset
- Continued scarcity of high‑grade deposits in the U.S.
- Strategic positioning within the gold sector amid macro‑economic uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-36.1
ROE-86.11%
ROA-26.76%
Debt/Equity0.01
P/B Ratio10.6
Op. Cash Flow$-104493000
Free Cash Flow$-36258248
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.7
Support$22.52
Resistance$34.70
MA 20$29.18
MA 50$34.97
MA 200$25.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.28
Volatility90.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.