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HYMC:NASDAQHycroft Mining Holding Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

$26.01

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

HYMC trades at $26.01, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 29.18 and 50‑day SMA of 34.97, while remaining just above the 200‑day SMA of 25.58. The RSI at 38.7 signals a mildly oversold condition, but the bearish MACD histogram (-0.04) and a high beta of 2.28 underscore continued downside pressure and elevated market sensitivity. Volume is increasing, yet the stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 90%, indicating a very noisy price environment.
Fundamentally the company has no revenue, negative EBITDA of $83.6 M, and a trailing EPS of –$1.01, resulting in a forward PE of –36 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 10.6, which points to significant overvaluation relative to its current cash‑flow generation. However, the recent technical report touts a projected post‑tax NPV of $10 B and a 51‑year mine life, suggesting a long‑run upside if the project advances as planned. The balance sheet remains strong with $190 M cash and negligible debt, but ongoing negative operating cash flow and a historic max drawdown of –58% add to the risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and high volatility
  • Increasing volume but limited near‑term catalyst

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical report indicating $10 B NPV and 51‑year mine life
  • Strong cash position with minimal debt
  • Potential upside as project milestones are achieved

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑run value creation from a multi‑generational gold‑silver asset
  • Continued scarcity of high‑grade deposits in the U.S.
  • Strategic positioning within the gold sector amid macro‑economic uncertainty

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-36.1
ROE-86.11%
ROA-26.76%
Debt/Equity0.01
P/B Ratio10.6
Op. Cash Flow$-104493000
Free Cash Flow$-36258248

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.7
Support$22.52
Resistance$34.70
MA 20$29.18
MA 50$34.97
MA 200$25.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.28
Volatility90.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.