HYDR:NASDAQGlobal X Hydrogen ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-15 - not real-time
$54.79
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The ETF trades at $54.79, just above the identified support level of $50, yet both the 20‑day SMA (~$63.9) and 50‑day SMA (~$56.7) sit above the current price, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 40 points to a mild oversold condition, while a negative MACD histogram (-2.42) reinforces a bearish tilt. Nonetheless, the computed trend direction is bullish and the 200‑day SMA (~$42) remains well below price, suggesting a longer‑term uptrend.
On the broader canvas, HYDR has posted an eye‑catching YTD return of ~119% but exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of ~70% and a beta near 2.7, underscoring sensitivity to market swings. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.5% is modest for a thematic play, and tracking error is effectively zero, limiting index‑tracking risk. Liquidity is mixed—volume is increasing yet still below its 10‑day average—while the fund’s concentration in the emerging hydrogen sector is high, elevating overall risk.
On the broader canvas, HYDR has posted an eye‑catching YTD return of ~119% but exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of ~70% and a beta near 2.7, underscoring sensitivity to market swings. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.5% is modest for a thematic play, and tracking error is effectively zero, limiting index‑tracking risk. Liquidity is mixed—volume is increasing yet still below its 10‑day average—while the fund’s concentration in the emerging hydrogen sector is high, elevating overall risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above the $50 support level
- RSI at 40 indicating mild oversold pressure
- Bearish MACD histogram reinforcing short‑term downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Robust YTD gain of ~119% providing momentum cushion
- High beta (~2.7) amplifying market volatility
- Hydrogen sector still in early development phase
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term hydrogen adoption outlook driving sector growth
- 200‑day SMA well below current price indicating sustained uptrend
- Reasonable expense ratio of 0.5% for a niche thematic ETF
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$168.0M
Inception Date2021-07-12
Avg Daily Volume169,390
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.73%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI40.1
Support$50.00
Resistance$74.80
MA 20$63.92
MA 50$56.69
MA 200$42.03
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.48
Risk Assessment
Beta2.71
Volatility70.12%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.