HY:NYSEHyster-Yale, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$35.35
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Hyster‑Yale (HY) posted a disappointing Q1 2026, with revenue down 12.7% YoY to $795.2 M and a non‑GAAP loss of $1.64 per share, missing consensus expectations. Margins remain weak – gross margin is only 15.9% and operating margin is negative – while the balance sheet shows a high leverage ratio (debt‑to‑equity > 110%). Technically, the stock trades at $35.35, just below the 20‑day SMA (34.81) but under the 50‑day SMA (36.21), with a neutral trend, an RSI of 49.6 and a marginally bullish MACD histogram.
Despite the earnings pain, the forward PE of 17.1 is well below the industry average of 30.4, the price‑to‑book is 1.47, and the dividend yield stands at 4.09% with a modest payout ratio of about 10%, suggesting the dividend remains sustainable. The DCF model implies roughly 30% upside potential, yet the stock carries a high beta (1.6) and 30‑day volatility of 54.8%, indicating substantial price swings. Overall, the company is in a turnaround phase, with transformation initiatives targeting product evolution and cost reduction, but short‑term headwinds from a revenue slump and tariff pressures dominate the risk profile.
Despite the earnings pain, the forward PE of 17.1 is well below the industry average of 30.4, the price‑to‑book is 1.47, and the dividend yield stands at 4.09% with a modest payout ratio of about 10%, suggesting the dividend remains sustainable. The DCF model implies roughly 30% upside potential, yet the stock carries a high beta (1.6) and 30‑day volatility of 54.8%, indicating substantial price swings. Overall, the company is in a turnaround phase, with transformation initiatives targeting product evolution and cost reduction, but short‑term headwinds from a revenue slump and tariff pressures dominate the risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Q1 earnings miss and revenue decline
- Price near resistance level of $37
- High volatility and beta indicating price instability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Transformation initiatives aimed at margin improvement
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Elevated debt load limiting near‑term financial flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 17.1 versus industry average of 30.4 suggesting undervaluation
- Potential upside of ~30% from DCF fair‑value estimate
- Sustainable dividend providing steady cash return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-12.70%
Profit Margin-2.71%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE-19.79%
ROA-1.09%
Debt/Equity112.06
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$89.6M
Free Cash Flow$33.2M
Industry P/E30.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.6
Support$30.50
Resistance$37.00
MA 20$34.81
MA 50$36.21
MA 200$34.70
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair Value$0.73
Target Price$46.00
Upside/Downside30.13%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.60
Volatility54.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.