We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

HWM:NYSEHowmet Aerospace Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time

$250.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Howmet Aerospace is benefitting from robust commercial aerospace demand, delivering double‑digit revenue growth and operating margins that sit comfortably above industry norms. Return on equity remains exceptionally strong, and the modest dividend payout backed by solid cash flow suggests sustainability.
However, the stock trades at a price far above its intrinsic estimate, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple that dwarfs the sector average and a discounted cash‑flow valuation indicating a sizeable downside. Technical signals are mixed: the price sits near a key resistance level, the MACD histogram is positive, but volume has been tapering and recent volatility is elevated. Analyst coverage is bullish with upside forecasts, yet the market sentiment of extreme greed adds a cautionary note. The overall picture points to a high‑quality growth engine that is currently priced for perfection, warranting a measured approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering at a technical resistance zone
  • high valuation relative to fundamentals
  • declining volume and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • sustained double‑digit revenue growth and strong margins
  • analyst price targets indicating upside
  • low payout ratio supporting dividend sustainability

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term aerospace and defense demand fundamentals
  • potential valuation compression as market expectations normalize
  • steady cash generation and modest dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.60%
Profit Margin18.27%
P/E Ratio67.6
ROE30.44%
ROA12.13%
Debt/Equity60.02
P/B Ratio18.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$917.2M
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.6
Support$220.51
Resistance$253.91
MA 20$237.13
MA 50$238.60
MA 200$204.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.09

Valuation

Fair Value$50.48
Target Price$277.52
Upside/Downside11.01%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility37.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.